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NFL Thursday Night Football

Chiefs vs Raiders Free Pick

Alex Smith opposing Derek Carr on Thursday Night FootballWeek 7 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Oakland Raiders in an AFC West showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Kansas City favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 47.

Entering this game, Kansas City on the season is 5-1 straight up and against the spread. On the road, the Chiefs are 3-0 SU and ATS. Oakland on the season is 2-4 SU and ATS. At home, the Raiders are 1-2 SU and ATS.

Kansas City lost for the first time last weekend, when Pittsburgh exposed a defensive weakness and downed the Chiefs 19-13. Oakland after winning its first two games of the season has now lost four in a row losing last week to the Los Angeles Chargers 17-16.

The Chiefs opened the season 5-0 due to a rushing attack led by rookie running back Kareem Hunt and big play wide receiver Tyreek Hill. However, last week against the Steelers, Hill was injured and could have a concussion.

Defensively, the Chiefs were dominated by the Steelers offensive line as Pittsburgh’s Le’Veon Bell carried the ball 32 times for 179 yards.

Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith threw for 223 yards, but the running game for Chiefs was almost non-existent with just 28 yards on the ground, and Hunt held to just 21 yards.

Oakland has averaged just 13.2 points a game during its current losing streak of four straight. Derek Carr returned to quarterback the Raiders after missing the Raiders loss to Baltimore with an injured back, but it was obvious Carr is still not 100%. Carr threw for just 171 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

The Raiders running attack has not been very good through six games, with offseason acquisition Marshawn Lynch not living up to lofty expectations after returning from one year of retirement.

The Raiders defense let them down as well, as the Chargers drove down the field on the final drive to kick a field goal as time ran out giving them the 1-point victory.

Offensively, the Raiders are No. 30 in the league in total yards per game and No. 26 in passing yards.

Kansas City is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games versus opponents from the AFC West.

Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against opponents from the AFC West.

With this free pick, we like Kansas City to cover.

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Tuesday, October 17th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Chiefs vs Raiders Free Pick

Eagles vs Panthers Free Pick

Cam Newton returning to 2015 formWeek 6 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the Carolina Panthers in an NFC showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Carolina favored by 3.5 points with the over/under point total on 46.

Entering this game, Philadelphia on the season is 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread. On the road, the Eagles are 2-1 SU and ATS. Carolina on the season is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. At home, the Panthers are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS.

Both teams come into this game riding winnings streak in what should be a competitive Thursday night in the NFL. Philadelphia dominated Arizona last week in a 34-7 victory, while Carolina beat Detroit 27-24 on the road.

Philadelphia is riding a three-game winning streak, winning the first two in the streak by margins of just 3 points and 2 points before routing the Cardinals by 27 points. Quarterback Carson Wentz tossed three first quarter touchdowns including a bomb of 59 yards to Torrey Smith against Arizona.

Wentz finished the game with 304 yards passing, four touchdowns passes and 1 interception. LeGarrette Blount leads the Eagles rushing attack with 344 yards on the season, even though he has played in just 4 of 5 games.

The Panthers have won two straight entering this game. Carolina quarterback Cam Newton started his season slow during the team’s first three games. However, for the past two games, Newton looks like he did in 2015 as he threw for 316 yards and three touchdowns in Week 4 versus New England and followed that up in Week 5 against a tougher defense by throwing for 355 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Lions.

Newton has strong targets in wide receivers Devin Fuchess and Kelvin Benjamin, while rookie running back Christian McCaffrey scored his first receiving touchdown of his career and is becoming more and more involved in the offense. McCaffrey only has 96 yards rushing, but has 237 yards receiving.

Both teams are 4-1 and lead their respective divisions but the Panthers have played the tougher schedule thus far and have a better overall defense than do the Eagles.

Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road.

Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games played at home.

With this free pick, we like Carolina to cover.

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Tuesday, October 10th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Eagles vs Panthers Free Pick

Patriots vs Buccaneers Free Pick

Week 5 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the New England Patriots visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 5.5 points with the over/under point total on 55.5

Entering the game, New England on the season is 2-2 straight up and 1-3 against the spread. On the road, the Patriots are 1-0 SU and ATS. Tampa Bay on the season is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. At home, the Buccaneers are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS.

After four weeks most New England has lost two games, as last season they lost two games the entire season. Tampa Bay used a late field goal to slip by the winless New York Giants 25-23 on Sunday, while the Patriots lost at home to Carolina 33-30.

New England’s defense is its downfall after four games, allowing an average of more than 450 yards per game. The Patriots allowed 316 yards passing against Carolina on Sunday.

Against Houston, the Pats defense also allowed 33 points, but was spared complete embarrassment when veteran Tom Brady threw a late touchdown pass to pull out the win.

The defense of New England also allowed 42 points in Week 1 in a Thursday night loss to Kansas City, as the Chiefs beat the Patriots by 15 points on New England’s home field.

In last Sunday’s loss, Brady threw for 307 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Brandin Cooks caught three passes for just 38 yards well below his average of the previous three games.

Nick Folk may have kicked the winning field goal last weekend versus the Giants, but the Tampa Bay kicker missed two field goals as well as an extra point earlier in the game. The Bucs are just a half game behind the Panthers and Falcons in the NFC South.

Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston threw for 332 yards and three touchdowns against the Giants. Bucs running back Jacquizz Rodgers rushed for 83 yards. The Tampa Bay offense has 434 yards of total offense, while allowing a total of 379 yards by the Giants.

New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games played.

Tampa Bay is 1-3 ATS in its last 5 games played.

With this free pick, we like Tampa Bay to cover.

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Tuesday, October 3rd, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Patriots vs Buccaneers Free Pick

Bears vs Packers Free Pick

Week 4 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the Chicago Bears visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers in an NFC North showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Green Bay favored by 7 points with the over/under point total on 45.5.

Entering this game, Chicago on the season is 1-2 straight up and 2-1 against the spread. On the road, the Bears are 0-1 SU and ATS. Green Bay on the season is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. At home, the Packers are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS.

Chicago comes into this shortened week off a huge upset win over the Pittsburgh Steelers 23-17, while Green Bay rallied to beat the Cincinnati Bengals at home 27-24. In the two head to head games last season, Green Bay beat Chicago by 3 at Soldier Field and by 16 at Lambeau Field.

Jordan Howard rushed for a 19-yard walk-off touchdown for Chicago over the Steelers, but only after the Bears had squandered a 17-7 lead. Setting up Howard’s touchdown run was a long run by Tarik Cohen just a few plays prior.

Howard ended the day with 138 yards on the ground and two touchdowns, while Cohen rushed for 78 yards. The running game is Chicago’s strength at the moment as injuries have hurt the receiving corps and quarterback Mike Glennon is only hitting on short passes.

Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who if not being sacked (6) was scrambling to find receivers due a lack of protection in the pocket, somehow brought the team back from a halftime deficit of 14 points to win.

Rodgers threw a touchdown pass to Jordy Nelson with just 17 second left in regulation to send the game to overtime. After Green Bay’s defense stopped the Bengals, Rodgers threw a 72-yard pass to Geronimo Allison to set up the winning field goal by Mason Crosby.

The running game is once again failing the Pack with just 64 yards on the ground against the Bengals. The Packers defense allowed 301 yards but came up big late. Safety Josh Jones had 12 tackles and 2 sacks.

Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.

Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games played at home.

With this free pick, we like Green Bay to cover.

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Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Bears vs Packers Free Pick

Rams vs 49ers Free Pick

Week 3 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the Los Angeles Rams visit the San Francisco 49ers in an NFC West showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Los Angeles favored by 3 points with the over/under point total sitting on 40.

Entering this game, Los Angeles on the season is 1-1 straight up and against the spread. This will be the Rams first road game. San Francisco on the season is 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS. At home, the 49ers are 0-1 SU and ATS.

Last season, San Francisco was 2-14 but both their wins were against Los Angeles. However, this season it appears after two games that the Rams have a much better team than last year.

Last Sunday, the Rams lost 27-20 to Washington, while San Francisco was beaten by Seattle 9-6, despite a strong effort. This game might not draw as much interest as other Thursday games, but will be very competitive.

Rams quarterback Jared Goff opened the season with a strong game in Week 1 with over 330 yards passing, while in Week 2 that number dropped to 224. Rams back Todd Gurley rushed for 88 yards and one touchdown in the losing effort.

Defensively, Los Angeles held Washington quarterback Kirk Cousins to just 179 yards through the air, but gave up 229 yards on the ground. However, defensive tackle Aaron Donald returned after a holdout and will play more this week than he did on Sunday.

San Francisco will not outscore many teams in the NFL but its defense looks strong. After two games, the 49ers have scored just 12 points and have yet to score a touchdown.

The 49ers have faced two straight tough defenses in Carolina and Seattle, so things should be easier against the Rams on Thursday. The bright spot on offense was the 124 yards rushing by running back Carlos Hyde.

Defensively the 49ers sacked Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson three times and linebacker NaVorro Bowman recorded 10 tackles to lead the team.

Hyde is the only offense the 49ers have and he will not be enough against the Rams. At the same time, for the Rams Goff is playing better than last season and Gurley is a top back in the league.

Los Angeles is 1-8 in its last 9 games played.

San Francisco is 1-7 in its last 8 games at home.

With this free pick, we like Los Angeles to cover.

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Tuesday, September 19th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Rams vs 49ers Free Pick

Texans vs Bengals Free Pick

Week 2 of the NFL regular season begins with Thursday Night Football when the Houston Texans visit the Cincinnati Bengals in an AFC showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Cincinnati favored by 4 points with the over/under point total on 38.5.

Entering this game, Houston is 0-1 straight up and against the spread, while Cincinnati is 0-1 SU and ATS as well. Houston is expected to battle for first place in the AFC South, while Cincinnati is expected to finish second or third in the AFC North.

Houston and Cincinnati both started their regular seasons with losses at home, as the Texans lost to Jacksonville 29-7, and the Bengals were kept off the scoreboard by Baltimore 20-0.

Both teams must bounce back following poor performances but have a short week to turn things around. Last season, the Texans defeated the Bengals 12-10 at home.

Tom Savage started the first game of the season against Jacksonville but in the first half alone was sacked six times and fumbled twice, one of which was returned for a Jaguars touchdown.

In the second half, Deshaun Watson came in and passed for 102 yards, one touchdown and one interception. The Texans offensive line allowed 10 sacks by the Jaguars.

The Houston defense allowed 155 yards on the ground and did not have a quarterback sack.

Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton last season had 4,205 yards passing and 18 touchdowns, but against a tough Ravens defense threw four interceptions and committed one fumble. Cincinnati could only rush for 77 yards against a tough Baltimore front seven.

The Bengals defense held Baltimore to just 268 yards of total offense, but 157 yards were on the ground. Starting linebacker Vincent Rey was the leading tackler with 11 for the game for Cincinnati.

Cincinnati did not play well at all in Week 1, but did not have top defenders Vontez Burfict or Adam Jones because both were suspended. Jones returns, but Burfict will miss another week.

Houston’s J.J. Watt will play with a dislocated finger which could make it difficult for him to tackle.

Houston is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games played on Thursday.

Cincinnati is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games played in Week 2.

With this free pick, we like Cincinnati to cover.

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Tuesday, September 12th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Texans vs Bengals Free Pick

Chiefs vs Patriots Free Pick

The NFL kicks off the 2017 regular season on Thursday Night Football when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the New England Patriots. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 8 points with the over/under point total on 48.

New England finished last season 14-2 and went on to win Super Bowl LI, while Kansas City was 12-4 and won the AFC West. The last time the two teams played head to head was during the playoffs in January 2016 with New England coming out on top 27-20.

Both teams will be missing key offensive weapons opening the season. New England lost wide receiver Julian Edelman, who caught 96 passes last season, with an ACL tear. Kansas City lost its top running back Spencer Ware with a knee injury. Both players will miss the entire season.

Kansas City traded up in the draft to take Patrick Mahones their future quarterback. This preseason he played well, but veteran Alex Smith will start under center for the Chiefs.

Filling in for Ware at running back will likely be Charcandrick West. There is also rookie Kareem Hunt and free agent signing C.J. Spiller, who will see time in the backfield.

Smith is coming off a season where he threw for 3,500 yards, 15 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Tight end Travis Kelce with 85 receptions was his favorite target.

Defensively, Kansas City must replace the departed Donatri Poe a nose tackle. They did not fare well against the run last season.

New England traded in the offseason for Brandin Cooks a talented wide receiver and his presence will make the loss of Edelman slightly easier to handle. Cooks has more than 2,300 yards receiving over the last two seasons and 17 touchdowns receptions during that same period.

Tom Brady the veteran and future Hall of Famer returns for another season at 39. Last season he threw for 28 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions. Rob Gronkowski is once again healthy and will be one of Brady’s favorite targets at tight end.

Defensively, New England was strong last season finishing No. 6 overall allowing only 326 yards per game. The Pats defense against the run was No. 3 overall at 88.5 yards per game allowed.

New England is favored to win Super Bowl LII opening the season.

Kansas City is 6-0 against the spread in its last 6 games on the road.

New England is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games played on fieldturf.

With this free pick, we like New England to cover.

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Tuesday, September 5th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Chiefs vs Patriots Free Pick

Rams vs Seahawks Free Pick

Thursday Night Football kicks off Week 15 of the NFL regular season when the Los Angeles Rams visit the Seattle Seahawks in an NFC West showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Seattle favored by 15 points with the over/under point total on 38.5.

Entering this game, Los Angeles has an overall record on the season of 4-9 straight up and 4-8-1 against the spread. On the road, the Rams are 3-4 SU and ATS. Seattle on the season has an overall record of 8-4-1 SU and 7-6 ATS. At home, the Seahawks are 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS.

Seattle looks to regroup after being routed last week, while Los Angeles will be led by an interim coach, after Jeff Fisher was fired on Monday. The NFC West first place Seahawks look to clinch another division title, when they face the Rams now led by John Fassel.

Seattle with a win or a loss by Arizona on Sunday will give the Seahawks the division title but they looked very little like a division winner last Sunday after being embarrassed by Green Bay 38-10. Quarterback Russell Wilson threw five interceptions in the loss.    › Continue reading

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Wednesday, December 14th, 2016 2016 NFL Comments Off on Rams vs Seahawks Free Pick

Cowboys vs Vikings Free Pick

Week 13 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the Dallas Cowboys visit the Minnesota Vikings. The current line on top sportsbooks has Dallas favored by 3.5 points with the over/under point total sitting on 43.5.

Entering this game, Dallas has an overall record on the season of 10-1 straight up and 9-2 against the spread. On the road, the Cowboys are 5-0 SU and ATS. Minnesota on the season has an overall record of 6-5 SU and ATS. At home, the Vikings are 4-1 SU and ATS.

Dallas continues to win as the Cowboys stretched their winning streak to 10 games with a Thanksgiving Day victory over the Washington Redskins. The Cowboys continue to be led by the play of rookie quarterback Dak Prescott, rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott and a powerful offensive line.

Prescott continues to make plays under pressure without making rookie mistakes. In the win against Washington he passed for 195 yards and rushed for 39, while throwing one touchdown pass and rushing for another.   › Continue reading

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Monday, November 28th, 2016 2016 NFL Comments Off on Cowboys vs Vikings Free Pick

Falcons vs Buccaneers Free Pick

Thursday Night Football opens Week 9 action in the NFL when the Atlanta Falcons visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an NFC South showdown. The current line on most top sportsbooks has Atlanta favored by 4 points with the over/under point total sitting on 50.5.

Entering this game, Atlanta has an overall record of 5-3 straight up and against the spread. On the road, the Falcons are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS. Tampa Bay entering this game has an overall record of 3-4 SU and ATS. At home, the Buccaneers are 0-3 SU and ATS.

Atlanta has the No. 1 ranked offense in the NFL with Matt Ryan as their signal caller. However, Jameis Winston the Tampa Bay quarterback has the Falcons number. With a win on Thursday, Tampa Bay would sweep the two-game series against Atlanta for the second consecutive year.

On September 11, Winston threw four touchdowns passes when Tampa Bay beat Atlanta 31-24 in the opening game of the season. Last weekend, Winston threw two touchdown passes but the Buccaneers were beaten by Oakland 30-24 in overtime.    › Continue reading

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Thursday, November 3rd, 2016 2016 NFL Comments Off on Falcons vs Buccaneers Free Pick

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