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October 6, 2017

NFL Sunday Action

Steelers vs Chiefs Free Pick

Le'Veon Bell's rushing will be key in game versus ChiefsWeek 6 of the NFL regular season features a big AFC showdown when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Kansas City Chiefs. The current line on top sportsbooks has Kansas City favored by 4 points with the over/under point total on 47.

Entering this game, Pittsburgh on the season is 3-2 straight up and 2-3 against the spread. On the road, the Steelers are 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. Kansas City on the season is 5-0 SU and ATS. At home, the Chiefs are 2-0 SU and ATS.

The last time Kansas City lost a game was to Pittsburgh, when the Steelers ousted the Chiefs from the playoffs last season 18-16 at Arrowhead in Kansas City. The Chiefs are the only team that remains unbeaten in the NFL this season after five weeks.

Pittsburgh beat Kansas City twice last season – a rout of 43-14 during the regular season and the 2-point victory in the playoffs. In the playoff loss the offense for Kansas City could only generate 227 total yards.

However, this season the offense for the Chiefs is No. 2 in the NFL in total offense and No. 1 in scoring. At the same time, the Steelers are 1-2 over their last three games played, including an embarrassing 30-9 loss last weekend to Jacksonville in a game that saw veteran Ben Roethlisberger toss five interceptions.

The Steelers have struggled on offense despite having stars such as running back Le’Veon Bell and the league’s top receiver in Antonio Brown, who already has three games with 100 or more yards receiving. A big key in Sunday’s game will be Brown’s matchup against Marcus Peters the top cornerback for the Chiefs.

Pittsburgh’s pass defense is the best in the NFL, but the defense against the rush is nearly the opposite at No. 28.

Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith has a number of offensive weapons at his disposal. Rookie Kareem Hunt is leading the NFL in rushing with 609 yards as well as yards from scrimmage with 775. Tyreek Hill is a depth threat at receiver.

Defensively, the Chiefs have not played as well as in previous seasons ranking No. 27 in total defense.

Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games versus opponents with a record above .500.

Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against opponents from the AFC.

With this free pick, we like Pittsburgh to cover.

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Saturday, October 14th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Steelers vs Chiefs Free Pick

Patriots vs Jets Free Pick

Tom Brad and Patriots are 9.5-Point Chalk on SundayWeek 6 of the NFL regular season features an AFC East showdown when the New England Patriots visit the New York Jets. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 9.5 points with the over/under point total on 47.5.

Entering this game, New England on the season is 3-2 straight up and 2-3 against the spread. On the road, the Patriots are 2-0 SU and ATS. New York on the season is 3-2 SU and ATS. At home, the Jets are 2-0 SU and ATS.

The winner of this game will take over first place in the division which is quite surprising as the Patriots were predicted to run away with the AFC East title and the Jets were expected to win very few games the entire season.

However, New York has won three straight and holds a share of the division lead. The Jets defeated Cleveland 17-14 last weekend have allowed just a combined 40 points during the three-game winning streak.

New England is No. 1 in the NFL in total offense at 419.4 yards per game. However, on the flip side the Patriots defense is allowing 447.1 yards per game, which is the worst in the NFL.

Patriots star quarterback Tom Brady injured his non-throwing shoulder during the Patriots 19-14 win over Tampa Bay last week but has said he will play Sunday. New England has won 10 of the last 12 games against the Jets during the regular season.

Brady is leading the NFL in passing yards with 1,702 but has also suffered 16 sacks, which is one more than the entire season in 2016.

Brady has thrown for 300 or more yards in each of the team’s first five games and has thrown just one interception. His favorite targets are Brandin Cooks, Chris Hogan and Danny Amendola, as tight end Rob Gronkowski battles a thigh injury.

New York averages just over 300 yards of offense per game and has given up 14 more points than it scored over the first five games. Josh McCown has played well at quarterback thus far, but his two top rushers could miss the game due to injury.

New England is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road.

New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home versus opponents with a record above .500.

With this free pick, we like New England to cover.

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Friday, October 13th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Patriots vs Jets Free Pick

Packers vs Cowboys Free Pick

Dallas needs Ezekiel Elliott to come up big on Sunday to cover against Green BayWeek 5 of the NFL regular season is highlighted with an NFC Showdown between two playoffs teams from last season when the Green Bay Packers visit the Dallas Cowboys. The current line on top sportsbooks has Dallas favored by 2.5 points with the over/under point total on 52.5.

Entering the game, Green Bay on the season is 3-1 straight up and 2-2 against the spread. On the road, the Packers are 0-1 SU and ATS. Dallas on the season is 2-2 SU and ATS. At home, the Cowboys are 1-1 SU and ATS.

Last season in mid-October the Cowboys dominated the Packers, but that loss was avenged by Green Bay in the playoffs during January. Dallas wants to avenge that postseason loss, its second to Green Bay in the last three years, when the two meet on Sunday.

Dallas must also forget the recent past, which includes squandering a lead of 11 points last week in a loss at home of 35-30 to the Los Angeles Rams.

Green Bay comes in with injuries to key players. Although the Packers have had 10 days to rest following their 35-14 rout of Chicago on a Thursday, the injuries still plague the team.

Running back Ty Montgomery broke his ribs while his replacement Jamaal Williams hurt his knee. Wide receiver Davante Adams was also knocked out of the game against Chicago with a concussion. Montgomery practiced this week wearing chest protection, but Adams remains in concussion protocol.

Aaron Rodgers threw for four touchdowns versus the Bears and his favorite target Jordy Nelson has caught five touchdowns in the three games he has played.

Dallas running back Ezekiel Elliott was the leading rusher in the NFL last season, but his output on the ground has dropped in his second season and Dallas is only averaging 114 yards per game rushing as compared to 149.7 yards per game on the ground last season.

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott has eight touchdown passes and three interceptions. Wide receiver Dez Bryant caught 5 passes last week for 98 yards.

Defensively, Dallas is No. 20 against the pass, but Demarcus Lawrence has 7.5 sacks already after 4 games.

Elliott gained 282 yards on the ground in two games last season against Green Bay.

Rodgers has 300 yards or more passing in five of his past six road games for Green Bay.

Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games versus NFC opponents.

Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games versus NFC opponents.

With this free pick, we like Dallas to cover.

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Saturday, October 7th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Packers vs Cowboys Free Pick

Bills vs Bengals Free Pick

Bengals QB Andy Dalton Looks looks to roll up points against BillsWeek 5 of the NFL regular season continues on Sunday when the Buffalo Bills visit the Cincinnati Bengals in an AFC showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Cincinnati favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 39.5.

Entering this game, Buffalo on the season is 3-1 straight up and 4-0 against the spread. On the road, the Bills are 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS. Cincinnati on the season is 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS. At home, the Bengals are 0-2 SU and ATS.

Buffalo is one of the NFL biggest surprises to start the season and looks to keep its strong play when its visits Cincinnati Sunday in an early afternoon showdown. The Bills will look for their third consecutive win to keep them atop the AFC East ahead of New England and the New York Jets.

While Buffalo has surprised nearly everyone with its 3-1 start, Cincinnati has been a huge disappointment starting at 1-3. However, opponents know the Bengals have a good team and it is just a matter of time before they are able to put things together.

During Week 3, the Bengals lost in overtime to Green Bay 27-24, but played much better on offense than during the first two weeks of the season.

Last week, Cincinnati routed Cleveland 31-7 as quarterback Andy Dalton, running back Giovani Benard and wide receiver A.J. Green proved how strong the Bengals offense can be.

Buffalo’s defense is one of the best in the NFL against the score, and its secondary is a big reason having intercepted six passes while allowing only one touchdown through the air.

Offensively, the Bills have not impressed, but starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor has played steady with five passes for touchdowns and only one interception.

Bengals signal caller Dalton completed 25 of his 30 passes last week versus the Browns for 286 yards with four touchdowns.

The Bengals defense has performed well ranking No. 3 in defense against the score and total defense.

Buffalo kicker Stephen Hauschka has kicked three goals of 55 or more yards this season. That ties him for second most in the history of the NFL behind just Matt Prater of Detroit who has hit four kicks of that length this season.

Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games played.

Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games played at home.

With this free pick, we like Cincinnati to cover.

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Friday, October 6th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Bills vs Bengals Free Pick

Raiders vs Broncos Free Pick

Mack sacks SiemianSunday late afternoon of Week 4 features an AFC West showdown when the Oakland Raiders visit the Denver Broncos. The current line on top sportsbooks has Denver favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 46.

Entering this game, Oakland on the season is 2-1 straight up and against the spread. On the road, the Raiders are 1-1 SU and ATS. Denver on the season is 2-1 SU and 1-1-1 ATS. At home, the Broncos are 2-0 SU and 1-0-1 ATS.

Last year in the season finale, the Raiders, without Derek Carr their star quarterback, were beaten by Denver 24-6, which denied them the title in the AFC West. Carr will be healthy for this game, but played poorly last week in a loss to Washington.

Carr versus the Redskins threw for only 118 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. The Raiders lost 27-10. Denver lost its first game last week when they were beaten on the road at Buffalo 26-16.

Running back C.J. Anderson gained just 36 yards, with 32 yards from one run. Broncos quarterback Trevor Siemian has already been sacked 9 times, and must contend with Oakland’s Khalil Mack the reigning AFC Defensive Player of the Year.

Carr must try to avoid Broncos linebacker Von Miller who leads the NFL in sacks since the beginning of the 2011 regular season with 76.5.

However, Oakland’s Mack has 28 sacks since the start of the 2015 NFL season, which lead the NFL. He has sacked Denver quarterbacks seven times in his career sack total of 32. Raiders’ wide receiver Michael Crabtree practiced on a limited basis during the week due to an injury to his chest suffered in last week’s loss to Washington.

Despite a poor effort last week against Buffalo, Denver’s Anderson is No. 5 in rushing in the NFL with 235 yards. Jamaal Charles formerly with the Kansas City has rushed for 962 yards in 12 career games versus Oakland, and will complement the running of Anderson.

Oakland cornerback Gareon Conley was limited in his practice this week with a shin injury.

Denver’s defense against the rush is No. 1 in the NFL allowing just 59.6 yards per game.

Oakland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games versus AFC opponents.

Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games versus opponents from the AFC West.

With this free pick, we like Oakland to cover.

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Saturday, September 30th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Raiders vs Broncos Free Pick

Steelers vs Ravens Free Pick

Week 4 of the NFL regular season features an AFC North showdown when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Baltimore Ravens. The current line on top sportsbooks has Pittsburgh favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 42.

Entering the game, Pittsburgh on the season is 2-1 straight up and 1-2 against the spread. On the road, the Steelers are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. Baltimore on the season is 2-1 SU and ATS. At home, the Ravens are 1-0 SU and ATS.

Baltimore enters this AFC North showdown with the lowest total offense in the NFL and was embarrassed in London by Jacksonville last week 44-7. Pittsburgh also lost last week as the Chicago Bears upset the Steelers in overtime 23-17.

Baltimore averages only 263.5 yards per game on offense and in its loss to the Jaguars last week had just 186 yards of offense.

Pittsburgh has not played well on offense as the Steelers are averaging just 302 yards per game and veteran quarterback Ben Roethlisberger blames himself. He said he did not play well enough for the team to win in its setback against the Bears.

Le’Veon Bell the talented running back for Pittsburgh has started the season very slow but finally scored a touchdown for the first times in three games last week in the loss to Chicago. Bell has not combined for 100 yards in rushing and receiving in any of the first three games.

Veteran quarterback Joe Flacco for the Raven threw for just 28 yards and a pair of interceptions in the loss to Jacksonville. Flacco did not play during the preseason due to an injured back and has not had help from his receivers thus far.

The team leader in receiving is Benjamin Watson at tight end with 103 yards, while Mike Wallace, Breshad Perriman and Jeremy Maclin have combined to catch just 11 passes for 121 yards over the first three games of the season.

Ravens defensive tackle Brandon Williams missed last week with an injured foot and is questionable for Sunday’s game.

Pittsburgh wide receiver Martavis Bryant has not practiced this week, and is listed as questionable for the game Sunday.

Pittsburgh is 11-5-1 ATS in its last 17 games played during October.

Baltimore is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games versus opponents from the AFC North.

With this free pick, we like Pittsburgh to cover.

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Friday, September 29th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Steelers vs Ravens Free Pick

Falcons vs Lions Free Pick

Week 3 of the NFL regular season features an NFC matchup in the Motor City when the Atlanta Falcons visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions. The current line on top sportsbooks has Atlanta favored by 3.5 points with the over/under point total on 50.5.

Entering this game, Atlanta on the season is 2-0 straight up and 1-1 against the spread. On the road, the Falcons are 0-1 SU and ATS. Detroit on the season is 2-0 SU and ATS. At home, the Lions are 1-0 SU and ATS.

Atlanta arrives at this game after defeating Chicago to open the season and Green Bay last week. The defending NFC South champion Falcons hope to return to the NFC championship once again this season and have started the season well.

This is the first time in 6 seasons that Detroit has started 2-0. A pleasant surprise early this season, has been the strength of the Lions defense. The front seven has made the defense one of the best versus the run thus far.

The balanced offense of Atlanta led by reigning MVP quarterback Matt Ryan will test the Detroit defense. Devonta Freeman has given Atlanta as excellent running attack to complement the passing skills of Ryan.

The last two times Atlanta has played Detroit, Ryan has a combined 507 passing yards, 6 touchdowns and just 1 interception. Although, through the first two games this season, the offense for the Falcons has not been as explosive as last season.

However, last week against the Packers, Freeman had 84 rushing and two touchdowns. The Atlanta loves to pressure the quarterback, but will be without Vic Beasley Jr. who has an injured hamstring.

Detroit is No. 4 in the NFL against the run, but is weak against the pass, despite having a strong pass rush thus far. Offensively, quarterback Matthew Stafford has only passed for a combined 414 through the first two games, but has six touchdown passes which ties for the league lead.

Ryan has thrown at least one touchdown pass in 21 straight games.

Stafford, in his last 15 games at home, has thrown 32 touchdown passes and just six interceptions.

Atlanta is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road dating back to last season.

Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against NFC opponents.

With this free pick, we like Detroit to cover.

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Friday, September 22nd, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Falcons vs Lions Free Pick

Redskins vs Rams Free Pick

Week 2 of the NFL regular season features an NFL showdown out west when the Washington Redskins visit the Los Angeles Rams. The current line on top sportsbooks has Los Angeles favored by 2.5 points with the over/under point total on 46.

Entering the game, Washington after one week is 0-1 straight up and against the spread, while Los Angeles is 1-0 SU and ATS. This is Washington’s first road game, while Los Angeles is 1-0 SU and ATS at home this season.

The Rams will look to continue with the momentum they have following their season-opening rout over the Indianapolis Colts 46-9. Jared Goff passed for 307 yards, which was his career high, with one touchdown. The Los Angeles defense stepped up and shut down the Colts.

The defense should be even stronger this week after Aaron Donald their defensive tackle and Pro Bowler returned to the team. The Rams defense scored two touchdowns off interceptions and recorded a safety as well.

Washington played poorly in its opener to Philadelphia falling 30-17. The Redskins had only 64 yards rushing, and quarterback Kirk Cousins recorded 30 yards on the ground. Cousins completed just 23 of his 40 passes in the game.

Terrelle Pryor the former quarterback turned wide receiver, caught six passes in his first game for Washington after signing a free agent contract. Ryan Grant caught four passes after catching only nine all of last season.

Donald ended his holdout with the Rams one day prior to the season opener and will have a limited role in Sunday’s game.

Rams cornerback Trumaine Johnson earned NFC Defensive Player of the Week honors after making a pick six for 39 yards and also recovering a fumble that he had forced.

Los Angeles was the first NFL team to return two interceptions for touchdowns during a season opener in the past 10 seasons. In 2007, the Vikings did the same against the Falcons.

Washington linebacker Mason Foster had 9 tackles in last week’s loss, which is the fifth consecutive game he has had 8 or more tackles.

The Rams head coach Sean McVay coached with the Redskins for seven season prior to taking the Los Angeles job this season.

Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road.

Los Angeles is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games played on grass.

With this free pick, we like Los Angeles to cover.

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Saturday, September 16th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Redskins vs Rams Free Pick

Eagles vs Redskins Free Pick

Week 1 of the NFL regular season features an NFC East showdown Sunday afternoon when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the nation’s capital to play the Washington Redskins. The current line on top sportsbooks has Philadelphia favored by 1 point with the over/under point total on 48.

Last season the Redskins missed the playoffs and quarterback Kirk Cousins returns in an attempt to lead the team back to the postseason in 2017. The Redskins beat the Eagles in both head to head games last season extending Washington’s domination over Philadelphia to five straight games.

However, two wide receivers Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson, who were Cousins’ favorite targets, are no longer with the Redskins and Sean McVay the former offensive coordinator is now the head coach of the Rams. Washington did sign Terrelle Pryor a 1,000-yard receiver from last season for Cleveland to help Cousins.

Last season Philadelphia was last in the NFC East after starting strong under rookie quarterback Carson Wentz but eventually losing ground and finishing in the cellar.

During the offseason, Philadelphia surrounded Wentz with talented skill position players by signing Alshon Jeffery a former Pro Bowler at wide receiver and Torrey Smith another talented wide out from San Francisco.

LaGarrette Blount, who scored 18 touchdowns rushing last season with New England, was also signed by the Eagles.

Wentz completed the most passes (379) of any rookie in NFL history last season. However, last season against Washington Wentz was sacked 9 times.

Besides the addition of Pryor at wide receiver, Washington’s Cousins will have talented tight-end Jordan Reed and wide receiver Jamison Crowder as receiving targets. Rob Kelley, a second year running back will lead a young but talented backfield.

Last season, the Redskins averaged over 403 yards per game on offense, which was No. 3 in the NFL, but their defense allowed nearly 378 yards per game. Ryan Kerrigan was the defensive leader at linebacker and has recorded double-digit quarterback sacks for two straight seasons.

Washington cornerback Josh Norman will have the duty of covering Philadelphia’s Jeffery.

Philadelphia is 7-3 against the spread in its last 10 games played on grass.

Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games played overall.

With this free pick, we like Philadelphia to cover.

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Saturday, September 9th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Eagles vs Redskins Free Pick

Steelers vs Browns Free Pick

Week 1 of the NFL continues Sunday with a big AFC North showdown when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns. The current line on top sportsbooks has Pittsburgh favored by 9 points with the over/under point total on 47.

Pittsburgh will have its top three skills players back for the season as quarterback Ben Roethlisberger returns, wide receiver Antonio Brown has extended his contract and running back Le’Veon Bell ended his training camp holdout. Bell is expected to play, but not as much as usual due to only being in training camp less than a week.

Cleveland will be without its top pick Myles Garrett. The Browns picked the defensive end first overall in the draft, but he suffered a high ankle sprain and will miss Sunday’s opener. The Browns know that strong defense is the only way to slow down the Steelers, but will begin the season without Garrett.

Pittsburgh was No. 16 in passing defense in the NFL last season giving up over 243 yards per game, but added Joe Haden a former Pro-Bowler with Cleveland to sure up its secondary.

Another big upgrade for Pittsburgh on defense was T.J. Watt their first round draft choice, who is the younger brother of J.J. Watt the Pro-Bowler with Houston. He played well during preseason and will see plenty of action at outside linebacker. The new defensive additions will help the Steelers in defense of their AFC North title.

DeShone Kizer is another rookie for Cleveland who was ready to start at the next level. The second round draft pick out of Notre Dame will be Cleveland’s starting quarterback on Sunday. Kizer will take the reins of an offense that was No. 30 last season and averaged just a paltry 16.5 points per game. In addition, the Browns lost Terrelle Pryor their top wide receiver from last season to free agency.

Pittsburgh offensive tackle Jerald Hawkins did not practice Thursday due to a knee injury.

Cleveland released safety Calvin Pryor Thursday after he had been involved with a fight during practice with Ricardo Louis a teammate.

The Steelers have won the past four straight against the Browns.

Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 against the spread in its past 6 games played on grass.

Cleveland is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games played on grass.

With this free pick, we like Pittsburgh to cover.

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Friday, September 8th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Steelers vs Browns Free Pick

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