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New England Patriots

Patriots vs Jets Free Pick

Tom Brad and Patriots are 9.5-Point Chalk on SundayWeek 6 of the NFL regular season features an AFC East showdown when the New England Patriots visit the New York Jets. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 9.5 points with the over/under point total on 47.5.

Entering this game, New England on the season is 3-2 straight up and 2-3 against the spread. On the road, the Patriots are 2-0 SU and ATS. New York on the season is 3-2 SU and ATS. At home, the Jets are 2-0 SU and ATS.

The winner of this game will take over first place in the division which is quite surprising as the Patriots were predicted to run away with the AFC East title and the Jets were expected to win very few games the entire season.

However, New York has won three straight and holds a share of the division lead. The Jets defeated Cleveland 17-14 last weekend have allowed just a combined 40 points during the three-game winning streak.

New England is No. 1 in the NFL in total offense at 419.4 yards per game. However, on the flip side the Patriots defense is allowing 447.1 yards per game, which is the worst in the NFL.

Patriots star quarterback Tom Brady injured his non-throwing shoulder during the Patriots 19-14 win over Tampa Bay last week but has said he will play Sunday. New England has won 10 of the last 12 games against the Jets during the regular season.

Brady is leading the NFL in passing yards with 1,702 but has also suffered 16 sacks, which is one more than the entire season in 2016.

Brady has thrown for 300 or more yards in each of the team’s first five games and has thrown just one interception. His favorite targets are Brandin Cooks, Chris Hogan and Danny Amendola, as tight end Rob Gronkowski battles a thigh injury.

New York averages just over 300 yards of offense per game and has given up 14 more points than it scored over the first five games. Josh McCown has played well at quarterback thus far, but his two top rushers could miss the game due to injury.

New England is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road.

New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home versus opponents with a record above .500.

With this free pick, we like New England to cover.

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Friday, October 13th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Patriots vs Jets Free Pick

Patriots vs Buccaneers Free Pick

Week 5 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the New England Patriots visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 5.5 points with the over/under point total on 55.5

Entering the game, New England on the season is 2-2 straight up and 1-3 against the spread. On the road, the Patriots are 1-0 SU and ATS. Tampa Bay on the season is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. At home, the Buccaneers are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS.

After four weeks most New England has lost two games, as last season they lost two games the entire season. Tampa Bay used a late field goal to slip by the winless New York Giants 25-23 on Sunday, while the Patriots lost at home to Carolina 33-30.

New England’s defense is its downfall after four games, allowing an average of more than 450 yards per game. The Patriots allowed 316 yards passing against Carolina on Sunday.

Against Houston, the Pats defense also allowed 33 points, but was spared complete embarrassment when veteran Tom Brady threw a late touchdown pass to pull out the win.

The defense of New England also allowed 42 points in Week 1 in a Thursday night loss to Kansas City, as the Chiefs beat the Patriots by 15 points on New England’s home field.

In last Sunday’s loss, Brady threw for 307 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Brandin Cooks caught three passes for just 38 yards well below his average of the previous three games.

Nick Folk may have kicked the winning field goal last weekend versus the Giants, but the Tampa Bay kicker missed two field goals as well as an extra point earlier in the game. The Bucs are just a half game behind the Panthers and Falcons in the NFC South.

Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston threw for 332 yards and three touchdowns against the Giants. Bucs running back Jacquizz Rodgers rushed for 83 yards. The Tampa Bay offense has 434 yards of total offense, while allowing a total of 379 yards by the Giants.

New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games played.

Tampa Bay is 1-3 ATS in its last 5 games played.

With this free pick, we like Tampa Bay to cover.

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Tuesday, October 3rd, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Patriots vs Buccaneers Free Pick

Chiefs vs Patriots Free Pick

The NFL kicks off the 2017 regular season on Thursday Night Football when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the New England Patriots. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 8 points with the over/under point total on 48.

New England finished last season 14-2 and went on to win Super Bowl LI, while Kansas City was 12-4 and won the AFC West. The last time the two teams played head to head was during the playoffs in January 2016 with New England coming out on top 27-20.

Both teams will be missing key offensive weapons opening the season. New England lost wide receiver Julian Edelman, who caught 96 passes last season, with an ACL tear. Kansas City lost its top running back Spencer Ware with a knee injury. Both players will miss the entire season.

Kansas City traded up in the draft to take Patrick Mahones their future quarterback. This preseason he played well, but veteran Alex Smith will start under center for the Chiefs.

Filling in for Ware at running back will likely be Charcandrick West. There is also rookie Kareem Hunt and free agent signing C.J. Spiller, who will see time in the backfield.

Smith is coming off a season where he threw for 3,500 yards, 15 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Tight end Travis Kelce with 85 receptions was his favorite target.

Defensively, Kansas City must replace the departed Donatri Poe a nose tackle. They did not fare well against the run last season.

New England traded in the offseason for Brandin Cooks a talented wide receiver and his presence will make the loss of Edelman slightly easier to handle. Cooks has more than 2,300 yards receiving over the last two seasons and 17 touchdowns receptions during that same period.

Tom Brady the veteran and future Hall of Famer returns for another season at 39. Last season he threw for 28 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions. Rob Gronkowski is once again healthy and will be one of Brady’s favorite targets at tight end.

Defensively, New England was strong last season finishing No. 6 overall allowing only 326 yards per game. The Pats defense against the run was No. 3 overall at 88.5 yards per game allowed.

New England is favored to win Super Bowl LII opening the season.

Kansas City is 6-0 against the spread in its last 6 games on the road.

New England is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games played on fieldturf.

With this free pick, we like New England to cover.

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Tuesday, September 5th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Chiefs vs Patriots Free Pick

New England Patriots 2017 Outlook

The defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots are the preseason odds on favorites to win Super Bowl LII in February.

Winners of two of the past three Super Bowls the Patriots are easily the league’s best team entering the 2017 NFL regular season. New England has won 10 or more games every season dating back to 2003 and that streak is likely to continue under head coach Bill Belichick and future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady.

Nevertheless, there are some changes to the Patriots lineup including players that left and new ones that have been signed.

The Patriots second best receiver last season tight Martellus Bennett signed with the Green Bay Packers. LeGarrette Blount who rushed for almost 3,000 yards and scored 34 touchdowns over the past four seasons is also no longer with the Patriots. › Continue reading

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Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on New England Patriots 2017 Outlook

Patriots vs Falcons Free Pick

Super Bowl LI will kick off on February 5 from NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas when the New England Patriots play the Atlanta Falcons. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 3 points with the over/under point total sitting on 58.5.

New England this season through the playoffs is 16-2 straight up and 15-3 against the spread. The Patriots in their past 10 games played are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. Atlanta this season through the NFC Title game is 13-5 SU and 12-6 ATS. The Falcons in their last 10 games are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS.

New England beat the Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers to reach the Super Bowl while Atlanta defeated the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers.

New England easily defeated Pittsburgh 36-17 to win the AFC title. Quarterback Tom Brady threw for 384 yards, 3 touchdowns and no interceptions.   › Continue reading

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Sunday, January 29th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Patriots vs Falcons Free Pick

Steelers vs Patriots Free Pick

The AFC Championship will be played Sunday night at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the New England Patriots. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 6 points with the over/under point total on 50.5.

Entering this game, Pittsburgh has an overall road record this season of 6-3 straight up and against the spread. New England on the season has an overall home record of 7-2 SU and ATS. In their past 10 games played, Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS, while New England is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS.

Pittsburgh reached the AFC Championship game with an 18-16 win over Kansas City last Sunday. New England easily disposed of Houston 34-16 to reach the conference championship game.

New England defeated Pittsburgh during Week 7 of the regular season 27-16 on the road at Heinz Field. However, Pittsburgh star quarterback Ben Roethlisberger missed that game due to injury.   › Continue reading

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Thursday, January 19th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Steelers vs Patriots Free Pick

Texans vs Patriots Free Pick

The AFC divisional round of the NFL playoffs kicks off on Saturday when the Houston Texans visit the New England Patriots. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 15.5 points with the over/under point total on 44.5.

On the road this season, Houston is 2-6 straight up and 2-6 against the spread. New England at home this season is 6-2 SU and ATS. Over their past 10 games played the Texans are 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS, while the Patriots are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS.

In Week 3 of the regular season, Houston visited New England and was routed 27-0. The Texans lost that game versus a third-string quarterback for the Patriots as Tom Brady was still serving his 4-game suspension.

Last week, Houston defeated Oakland during the wildcard round of the playoffs 27-14. New England ended the regular season riding a 7-game winning streak and in its past two games head to head with Houston, has outscored the Texans 54-6.   › Continue reading

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Friday, January 13th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Texans vs Patriots Free Pick

Patriots vs Dolphins Free Pick

An AFC East showdown on Sunday has playoff implications when the New England Patriots travel south to play the Miami Dolphins. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 9.5 points with the over/under point total on 44.5.

Entering this final game of the regular season, New England has a record of 13-2 straight up and 12-3 against the spread. On the road, the Patriots are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami on the season is 10-5 SU and 9-6 ATS. At home, the Dolphins are 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS.

Last season, New England needed a final game victory over Miami to hold the top seed overall in the AFC, but lost 20-10. They played on the road during the AFC Championship and lost to Denver. That makes this game important to the Patriots as they can wrap up the AFC’s top record with a win.

Miami has beaten New England the past three times they have played in Miami. The Dolphins have clinched a playoff spot but could still move into the No. 5 seed with a victory over New England and a loss by Kansas City to San Diego. › Continue reading

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Friday, December 30th, 2016 2017 NFL Comments Off on Patriots vs Dolphins Free Pick

Patriots vs Broncos Free Pick

An AFC showdown with big playoff implications highlights the late afternoon Week 15 games when the New England Patriots travel to face the Denver Broncos. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 43.5.

Entering this game, New England has an overall record on the season of 11-2 straight up and 10-3 against the spread. On the road, the Patriots are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. Denver on the season has an overall record of 8-5 SU and ATS. At home, the Broncos are 4-2 SU and ATS.

New England is No. 1 in the AFC playoff seeding with just three games remaining. The Patriots lost last season to Denver in the AFC Championship on the road and wants to keep its home field advantage throughout the postseason by continuing to win down the stretch.

Last week the Patriots beat Baltimore 30-23 on Monday night. A win Sunday clinches the Patriots 11th straight AFC East title and a bye in the first round of the postseason.   › Continue reading

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Saturday, December 17th, 2016 2016 NFL Comments Off on Patriots vs Broncos Free Pick

Ravens vs Patriots Free Pick

Monday Night Football ends Week 14 of the NFL regular season with an AFC showdown when the Baltimore Ravens visit the New England Patriots. The current line on top sportsbooks has New England favored by 6.5 points with the over/under point total on 45.

Entering this game, Baltimore has an overall record on the season of 7-5 straight up and 6-6 against the spread. On the road, the Ravens are 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. New England entering this game has an overall record of 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS. At home, the Patriots are 4-2 SU and ATS.

The Patriots lead by a half game in the race for the top seed of the AFC with just four games left on the schedule. New England the won three straight and can clinch the AFC title with a win setting a new record of eight straight AFC East titles.

New England is 7-1 in regular season games versus Baltimore, but things have not been easy for quarterback Tom Brady against the Ravens.  › Continue reading

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Monday, December 12th, 2016 2016 NFL Comments Off on Ravens vs Patriots Free Pick

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