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Packers vs Cowboys Free Pick

Dallas needs Ezekiel Elliott to come up big on Sunday to cover against Green BayWeek 5 of the NFL regular season is highlighted with an NFC Showdown between two playoffs teams from last season when the Green Bay Packers visit the Dallas Cowboys. The current line on top sportsbooks has Dallas favored by 2.5 points with the over/under point total on 52.5.

Entering the game, Green Bay on the season is 3-1 straight up and 2-2 against the spread. On the road, the Packers are 0-1 SU and ATS. Dallas on the season is 2-2 SU and ATS. At home, the Cowboys are 1-1 SU and ATS.

Last season in mid-October the Cowboys dominated the Packers, but that loss was avenged by Green Bay in the playoffs during January. Dallas wants to avenge that postseason loss, its second to Green Bay in the last three years, when the two meet on Sunday.

Dallas must also forget the recent past, which includes squandering a lead of 11 points last week in a loss at home of 35-30 to the Los Angeles Rams.

Green Bay comes in with injuries to key players. Although the Packers have had 10 days to rest following their 35-14 rout of Chicago on a Thursday, the injuries still plague the team.

Running back Ty Montgomery broke his ribs while his replacement Jamaal Williams hurt his knee. Wide receiver Davante Adams was also knocked out of the game against Chicago with a concussion. Montgomery practiced this week wearing chest protection, but Adams remains in concussion protocol.

Aaron Rodgers threw for four touchdowns versus the Bears and his favorite target Jordy Nelson has caught five touchdowns in the three games he has played.

Dallas running back Ezekiel Elliott was the leading rusher in the NFL last season, but his output on the ground has dropped in his second season and Dallas is only averaging 114 yards per game rushing as compared to 149.7 yards per game on the ground last season.

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott has eight touchdown passes and three interceptions. Wide receiver Dez Bryant caught 5 passes last week for 98 yards.

Defensively, Dallas is No. 20 against the pass, but Demarcus Lawrence has 7.5 sacks already after 4 games.

Elliott gained 282 yards on the ground in two games last season against Green Bay.

Rodgers has 300 yards or more passing in five of his past six road games for Green Bay.

Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games versus NFC opponents.

Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games versus NFC opponents.

With this free pick, we like Dallas to cover.

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Saturday, October 7th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Packers vs Cowboys Free Pick

Bears vs Packers Free Pick

Week 4 of the NFL regular season kicks off with Thursday Night Football when the Chicago Bears visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers in an NFC North showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Green Bay favored by 7 points with the over/under point total on 45.5.

Entering this game, Chicago on the season is 1-2 straight up and 2-1 against the spread. On the road, the Bears are 0-1 SU and ATS. Green Bay on the season is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. At home, the Packers are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS.

Chicago comes into this shortened week off a huge upset win over the Pittsburgh Steelers 23-17, while Green Bay rallied to beat the Cincinnati Bengals at home 27-24. In the two head to head games last season, Green Bay beat Chicago by 3 at Soldier Field and by 16 at Lambeau Field.

Jordan Howard rushed for a 19-yard walk-off touchdown for Chicago over the Steelers, but only after the Bears had squandered a 17-7 lead. Setting up Howard’s touchdown run was a long run by Tarik Cohen just a few plays prior.

Howard ended the day with 138 yards on the ground and two touchdowns, while Cohen rushed for 78 yards. The running game is Chicago’s strength at the moment as injuries have hurt the receiving corps and quarterback Mike Glennon is only hitting on short passes.

Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who if not being sacked (6) was scrambling to find receivers due a lack of protection in the pocket, somehow brought the team back from a halftime deficit of 14 points to win.

Rodgers threw a touchdown pass to Jordy Nelson with just 17 second left in regulation to send the game to overtime. After Green Bay’s defense stopped the Bengals, Rodgers threw a 72-yard pass to Geronimo Allison to set up the winning field goal by Mason Crosby.

The running game is once again failing the Pack with just 64 yards on the ground against the Bengals. The Packers defense allowed 301 yards but came up big late. Safety Josh Jones had 12 tackles and 2 sacks.

Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.

Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games played at home.

With this free pick, we like Green Bay to cover.

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Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Bears vs Packers Free Pick

Packers vs Falcons Free Pick

Sunday Night Football ends the second Sunday of the NFL regular season when the Green Bay Packers visit the Atlanta Falcons. The current line on top sportsbooks has Atlanta favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 55.5.

Entering this game, Green Bay is 1-0 straight up and against the spread, while Atlanta is 1-0 SU and 0-1 ATS. This will be Green Bay’s first road game and Atlanta’s first at home.

Green Bay lost in the NFC Championship to Atlanta the last time it played in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. However, the Packers have a chance at revenge, but with the stakes far lower in this Week 2 matchup.

The Packers opened their season with a hard fought 17-9 win over the Seattle Seahawks at Lambeau Field, while Atlanta opened with a 23-17 victory over the Chicago Bears, but did not cover as 9-point chalk.

Aaron Rodgers passed for 311 yards, one touchdown and one interception in Week 1 against Seattle’s tough defense. In seven games against Atlanta, Rodgers has a 117.0 passer rating.

Ty Montgomery rushed for one touchdown and accumulated 93 total yards, while Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb combined for 16 receptions and one touchdown for the Packers against the Seahawks.

Two offensive linemen for the Packers might miss Sunday’s game due to injury and illness, which could cause problems protecting Rodgers and opening holes for the running game.

Matt Ryan threw an 88-yard touchdown pass to Austin Hooper his tight end late in the Falcons win over the Bears, and ended the game with 321 yards through the air.

Ryan’s numbers have been huge against the Packers the past three games with 1,055 yards passing, 11 touchdown passes and just one interception. Last season Julio Jones, who caught four passes last week, had 180 receiving yards against the Packers and 259 yards against them in 2014.

Rodgers needs just two more touchdown passes to reach 300 for his career and join 10 others who have done the same.

Atlanta linebacker Vic Beasley sacked the quarterback once last week and has 16.5 since the beginning of last season, which leads the league.

Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus NFC opponents.

Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games versus NFC opponents.

With this free pick, we like Green Bay to cover.

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Saturday, September 16th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Packers vs Falcons Free Pick

Seahawks vs Packers Free Pick

Two NFC rivals expected to battle for the conference title meet win in Week 1 of the NFL regular season when the Seattle Seahawks visit Lambeau Field to play the Green Bay Packers. The current line on top sportsbooks has Green Bay favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 51.

Both teams routinely reach the postseason with Green Bay making the playoffs the past eight straight seasons, and Seattle reaching the postseason for five straight seasons.

Aaron Rodgers returns under center for the Packers for another season. Last season was his second season of throwing 40 touchdowns or more and he has passed for 4,000 yards or more six times.

Rodgers’ counterpart for Seattle is Russell Wilson. The Seahawks signal caller threw for 4,219 yards in 2016, which was his career best. He threw 21 touchdowns. In December of last year, when the Seahawks visited Lambeau Field, the Packers defense intercepted Wilson five times in a 38-10 rout.

Thomas Rawls the Seattle starting running back is questionable with an ankle injury and that could me Eddie Lacy a former running back with the Packers will get most of the snaps at running back.

Seattle’s defense is full of top players including Richard Sherman at one corner, Bobby Wagner at middle linebacker and Michael Bennett at defensive end.

Green Bay’s Rodgers has three top targets to throw at in Jordy Nelson, Davante Adams and Randall Cobb. Last season Nelson had 97 receptions, Adams 75 and Cobb 60.

At running back, the Packers will start Ty Montgomery a converted wide receiver who rushed from 457 yards last season.

Green Bay’s defense allowed 30 points or more in five of its losses last year during the regular season. The team signed Ahmad Brooks a former Pro Bowl selection at linebacker to add to the defense led by Clay Matthews and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix.

Brooks has played the last eight seasons for the San Francisco 49rs.

Green Bay is has won 10 of its 17 regular season games against Seattle, as well as two of three playoff encounters.

Seattle is 1-5 against the spread in its last 6 games played on natural grass.

Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games played on natural grass.

With this free pick, we like Green Bay to cover.

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Saturday, September 9th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Seahawks vs Packers Free Pick

Packers vs Falcons Free Pick

The NFC Championship will be played on Sunday when the Green Bay Packers visit the Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome, in Atlanta. The current line on top sportsbooks has Atlanta favored by 5 points with the over/under point total on 60.5.

Entering this game, Green Bay has an overall record on the road of 5-4 straight up and against the spread. Atlanta has an overall home record of 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS. Green Bay is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in its past 10 games, while Atlanta is 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS.

Green Bay punched its ticket to the conference championship by beating Dallas in a thrilling 34-31 shootout. Atlanta arrives after disposing of the Seattle Seahawks last Saturday 36-20 at home.

These two teams met during Week 8 of the regular season with Atlanta edging Green Bay 33-32 at home.  › Continue reading

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Thursday, January 19th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Packers vs Falcons Free Pick

Packers vs Cowboys Free Pick

Sunday continues the NFL divisional round of the playoffs when the Dallas Cowboys host the Green Bay Packers in an NFC showdown. The current line on top sportsbooks has Dallas (-185) favored by 4.5 points over Green Bay (+165) with the over/under point total on 52.

On the road this season, Green Bay was 4-4 straight up and against the spread. Dallas during the season at home was 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS. Over their past 10 games, the Packers were 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS, while the Cowboys were 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS.

After a losing streak of four games midway through the season, it appeared the Green Bay Packers might not make the postseason.

However, star quarterback Aaron Rodgers led the team to six straight regular season win to end the season and a seventh straight win last week in the wildcard round.   › Continue reading

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Saturday, January 14th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Packers vs Cowboys Free Pick

Giants vs Packers Free Pick

NFL Wildcard weekend concludes Sunday afternoon with an NFC wildcard game that features the New York Giants visiting the Green Bay Packers. The current line on top sportsbooks has Green Bay favored by 5 points with the over/under point total sitting on 44.5.

During the regular season, New York had an overall record of 11-5 straight up and 9-6 against the spread. On the road, the Giants were 3-4-1 SU and 3-3-2 against the spread. Green Bay on the season had an overall record of 10-6 SU and 9-6-1 ATS. At home, the Packers were 6-2 SU and 5-2-1 ATS.

Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers helped the Packers to six straight victories and the NFC North title after the team was 4-6. This is the eighth straight appearance for the Packers in the postseason.

Rodgers threw 40 touchdown passes during the season to lead the NFL. He threw four last week in the Packers 7-point win over Detroit to win the division.   › Continue reading

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Sunday, January 8th, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Giants vs Packers Free Pick

Packers vs Lions Free Pick

The final game of the NFL regular season will determine the NFC North champion on Sunday Night Football when the Green Bay Packers visit the Detroit Lions. The current line on top sportsbooks has Green Bay favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 49.5.

Entering this game, Green Bay has an overall record on the season of 9-6 straight up and 8-6-1 against the spread. On the road, the Packers are 3-4 SU and ATS. Detroit on the regular season is 9-6 SU and 8-7 ATS. At home, the Lions are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS.

The game will determine the AFC North champion, but each of the teams may already be assured of a postseason berth prior to the opening kickoff. Surging Green Bay has won five straight and is tied with Detroit for the division lead. At the same time, the Lions have lost two straight.

Both teams qualify for the postseason if Washington loses to New York earlier on Sunday. Otherwise, the playoff possibilities are numerous. Detroit, who has been routed in two straight losses to Dallas and the Giants, could still earn a bye in the first round, while the Packers cannot finish better than No. 3 in the NFC.   › Continue reading

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Sunday, January 1st, 2017 2017 NFL Comments Off on Packers vs Lions Free Pick

Vikings vs Packers Free Pick

Week 16 of the NFL continues its Saturday edition due to the holiday with an NFC North clash when the Minnesota Vikings visit the Green Bay Packers. The current line on top sportsbooks has Green Bay favored by 7 points with the over/under point total on 43.

Entering this game, Minnesota on the season has an overall record of 7-7 straight up and 8-6 against the spread. On the road, the Vikings are 3-4 SU and ATS. Green Bay on the season has an overall record of 8-6 SU and 7-6-1 ATS. At home, the Packers are 5-2 SU and 4-2-1 ATS.

Green Bay enters this game riding a four-game winning streak, while Minnesota enters struggling to stay alive in the divisional race. Green Bay has an opportunity of clinching a spot in the playoffs with a win, but will need help from other teams as well.

Green Bay controls its own destiny in the hunt for the postseason and is currently holding the sixth and final playoff spot in the NFC. With a win on Saturday against the Vikings and winning next week against Detroit would give Green Bay the NFC North title.   › Continue reading

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Thursday, December 22nd, 2016 2016 NFL Comments Off on Vikings vs Packers Free Pick

Seahawks vs Packers Free Pick

Week 14 of the NFL regular season features a showdown between two NFC rivals when the Seattle Seahawks visit Lambeau Field to play the Green Bay Packers. The current line on top sportsbooks has Seattle favored by 3 points with the over/under point total on 44.5.

Entering his game, Seattle on the season has an overall record of 8-3-1 straight up and 7-5 against the spread. On the road, the Seahawks are 2-3-1 SU and 3-3 ATS. Green Bay on the season had an overall record of 6-6 SU and 6-5-1 ATS. At home, the Packers are 4-2 SU and 3-2-1 ATS.

Green Bay has revived its fading hopes to reach the postseason with two straight wins. However, it faces a higher level of competition against Seattle on Sunday. Green Bay ended its losing streak of four straight to win two straight and move to within a single game of the final berth in the NFC playoffs.

The defense for Green Bay has awoken after four games in the doldrums allowing only 13 points to both the Eagles and Texans in its past two games. Green Bay star quarterback Aaron Rodgers hopes his teammates are up to the higher level of competition they will face on Sunday.    › Continue reading

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Saturday, December 10th, 2016 2016 NFL Comments Off on Seahawks vs Packers Free Pick

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