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Packers vs Cowboys Free Pick

October 07, 2017

Dallas needs Ezekiel Elliott to come up big on Sunday to cover against Green BayWeek 5 of the NFL regular season is highlighted with an NFC Showdown between two playoffs teams from last season when the Green Bay Packers visit the Dallas Cowboys. The current line on top sportsbooks has Dallas favored by 2.5 points with the over/under point total on 52.5.

Entering the game, Green Bay on the season is 3-1 straight up and 2-2 against the spread. On the road, the Packers are 0-1 SU and ATS. Dallas on the season is 2-2 SU and ATS. At home, the Cowboys are 1-1 SU and ATS.

Last season in mid-October the Cowboys dominated the Packers, but that loss was avenged by Green Bay in the playoffs during January. Dallas wants to avenge that postseason loss, its second to Green Bay in the last three years, when the two meet on Sunday.

Dallas must also forget the recent past, which includes squandering a lead of 11 points last week in a loss at home of 35-30 to the Los Angeles Rams.

Green Bay comes in with injuries to key players. Although the Packers have had 10 days to rest following their 35-14 rout of Chicago on a Thursday, the injuries still plague the team.

Running back Ty Montgomery broke his ribs while his replacement Jamaal Williams hurt his knee. Wide receiver Davante Adams was also knocked out of the game against Chicago with a concussion. Montgomery practiced this week wearing chest protection, but Adams remains in concussion protocol.

Aaron Rodgers threw for four touchdowns versus the Bears and his favorite target Jordy Nelson has caught five touchdowns in the three games he has played.

Dallas running back Ezekiel Elliott was the leading rusher in the NFL last season, but his output on the ground has dropped in his second season and Dallas is only averaging 114 yards per game rushing as compared to 149.7 yards per game on the ground last season.

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott has eight touchdown passes and three interceptions. Wide receiver Dez Bryant caught 5 passes last week for 98 yards.

Defensively, Dallas is No. 20 against the pass, but Demarcus Lawrence has 7.5 sacks already after 4 games.

Elliott gained 282 yards on the ground in two games last season against Green Bay.

Rodgers has 300 yards or more passing in five of his past six road games for Green Bay.

Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games versus NFC opponents.

Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games versus NFC opponents.

With this free pick, we like Dallas to cover.

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Saturday, October 7th, 2017 2017 NFL

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