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Michigan State vs. Minnesota Basketball Free Pick

michigan-stateToday’s free pick is a 7:00 PM EST tip off Big 10 matchup between Michigan State and Minnesota.  We love handicapping Big Ten action because it is the best conference in the country and there is so much parody that you can taste it in the cold winter air.  Michigan State is favored by 4.5 points.  We like to handicap games much more than totals. There is much more info to work with. So, we will stay away from total analysis on this one.

Minnesota comes into this matchup 17-5 SU and 13-7 ATS.  They just pulled off a squeaker against Iowa a few days ago in Minnesota and failed to cover the ten point spread.  Minnesota has already defeated Michigan State this year 76-63.  They have also defeated USC, Stanford and Florida State. They are bouncing back from a four game skid and have won the last two games.

Michigan State comes into this game at 18-4 SU and just 8-11 ATS.  This year hey have defeated Texas, Kansas and Ohio State.  They are a solid club. They play a different style basketball than does Minnesota. They are slightly more ball controlled on offense and play more defense. Michigan State just defeated Illinois in their last game. The spread was a little high so they failed to cover.

Betting Trends

Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road

Michigan State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Michigan State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota

We look for a close game. Michigan State may pull off the win but we like Minnesota to cover the 4.5

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Wednesday, February 6th, 2013 2013, Basketball, NCAA

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