Recent Posts

Rockies vs Dodgers Free Pick

June 24, 2017

Twins vs Indians Free Pick

June 23, 2017

Indians vs Orioles Free Pick

June 22, 2017

Blue Jays vs Rangers Free Pick

June 21, 2017

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Free Pick

June 20, 2017

Mets vs Dodgers Free Pick

June 19, 2017

Red Sox vs Astros Free Pick

June 18, 2017

Indians vs Twins Free Pick

June 17, 2017

Red Sox vs Astros Free Pick

June 16, 2017

Giants vs Rockies Free Pick

June 15, 2017

Yankees vs Angels Free Pick

June 14, 2017

Dodgers vs Indians Free Pick

June 13, 2017

Indiana vs Michigan Free Pick

indiana-hoopsTonight at 9:00 pm EST the number 1 Michigan Wolverines are at Indiana to take on the number 3 Hoosiers. The spread is currently Indiana -5.5. The initial line was -4.5. The public seems to be riding Michigan on this one which is weird that the line is moving the other way.  There could be some “smart money” on Indiana or bets from sharp bettors that cause sportsbooks to move the line. This in itself is gambling by the sportsbook manager.

Michigan doesn’t have much success when it comes to playing the Hoosiers at Indiana.  In the last 75 trips to Indiana the Wolverines have only managed to win 12 of them! That is a 12-63 record.  Indiana started the season off as preseason ranked number 1.  They are a stacked team. Michigan has worked it’s way up to number one.  This may be the most anticipated game of the season thus far.

Betting Biz
Getting inside the betting numbers we see that Michigan is 20-1 SU and 13-6-1 against the spread.  Indiana is 19-2 SU and just 10-9 ATS. At home the Hoosiers are 7-6 ATS. Michigan is 3-2 ATS when playing away.  Michigan is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana.  But Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.

Indiana averages an amazing 84 points per game on offense and allows 60. Michigan scores an average of 78 and allows just 58.  Both teams are coming off four straight wins. All four on both sides were impressive wins against Big Ten teams. The Big Ten is the best conference in basketball so any Big Ten win is impressive.  Both squads are 7-1 within the conference.

Summary
We come up with a line that we thing is fair before the actual lines come out. We agreed that Indiana -3 would be the perfect spread. It came out at 4.5 and we though it maybe a bit high. It is now at 5.5 and now think it is definitely high.  We are going with Michigan +5.5.  We are not saying that Michigan will win or even cover for that matter. We just think this is a value play. The spread is a little large and it is like getting a free bucket before you start the game. Take (675) Michigan +5.5. If you are looking for a sportsbook with great customer service check out Wager Web. These guys are top notch.

Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

Saturday, February 2nd, 2013 2013, Basketball, NCAA

Get Daily Picks via Email

Top Sportsbooks – Click Banner