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Michigan State vs. Illinois Free Pick

msuTonight at 7pm EST Illinois is at Michigan State.  Oddsmakers have Michigan State favored by 8.5 points.  Michigan State comes into the game at 15-4 straight up and just 8-10 ATS.    Illinois is 15-6 SU and only 7-11 ATS.

For Illinois it has been a tale of two season. They started the season 12-0 and were highly ranked. Since then they have gone just 3-6 and have dropped out of the rankings. When looking at their schedule the reason for this drop off is obvious. They started conference play.  5 of their 6 losses have come against conference foes. The Big 10 is widely considered the best conference in basketball this year, an honor that usually is bestowed upon ACC, Big East, SEC or Big 12 basketball. 

Under the Hood
Michigan State scores 69 points per game. They allow just 58.  Illinois scores 72 and allows 66. Brandon Paul of Illinois will be the star of the show tonight as he will be by far the highest scoring player on the court (averaging just under 18 points per game).  Illinois shoots more 3 point fg’s than does Michigan State and that will play a factor in tonight’s contest.

How it will play out
We will look for a steady back and forth contest tonight.  If Illinois can establish a three early then watch out. They could very well upset this Michigan State team outright. But at the very least we can see an Illinois cover. The 8.5 points seems a bit too high. Illinois really has a chance for some season redemption tonight. Take (511) Illinois +8.5.  If you are looking for a reputable place to bet it, look no further. Bet Revolution is a one stop betting Mecca. And you will get a great sign up bonus if you use the link from our site. Click Here: Bet Revolution Sportsbook

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Thursday, January 31st, 2013 2013, Basketball, NCAA

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