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Mississippi State vs. Florida Free Pick

Florida-basketballFlorida has been massacring teams this season. It doesn’t matter if it is home or away. They are beating teams and they are beating them good.  Look at the last five: a 33 points win vs. Georgia, a 24 point win at LSU, a 21 point win at Texas A&M, and Georgia fell victim once again three days ago, losing this time to Florida by 17 points.

Florida is 15-2 U and 10-6 against the spread.  Miss State is 8-10 and just 5-8 ATS.  The Gators of Florida average 73 points per game on offense and allow only 51. Their defensive efforts should get as much mention as their great offense.  Miss State only scores about 62 points per game and allows 65. Clearly when you score less per game than you allow it is a bad season.  They do have wins against South Carolina and Georgia which is encouraging for the Bulldogs faithful. 

The point spread here has been set at Florida -20.5 points.  Many would be quick to jump on the favorite and roll the dice but not so fast.  Look at some trends that we have found.  Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State.  Mississippi State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home.  Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida.

Look for history to repeat itself and the Mississippi Bulldogs to hold true to form and give Florida some headaches this game. We like Miss State to cover the points. Where can you find trends and stats like this? You can find them on our Matchup Chart located right on our site.

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Saturday, January 26th, 2013 2013, Basketball, NCAA

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