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Ravens vs Patriots Free Pick

The three R’s – Rematches, revenge and retirement. All three come into play Sunday afternoon when the New Patriots host the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship game at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts.

Rematch because the two teams played in last year’s AFC Championship; revenge because the Ravens lost the game when their placekicker missed a short field in the last seconds of the game; and retirement because if the Ravens lose, Ray Lewis their 17-year veteran will start his retirement he announced just two weeks ago.  

Baltimore’s record coming into the game is 12-6 straight up and 8-9-1 gainst the spread. New England comes in with a record of 13-4 straight up and 10-7 losses against the spread.

The two teams played head to head during the regular season this year and Baltimore came out on top 31-30, but it will be little consolation if the Ravens lose again in the AFC Championship. Baltimore arrived at this game thanks to a 38-35 double overtime victory over the Denver Broncos last weekend. Baltimore was as much as a 10-point dog in some sportsbooks.

New England arrived here after taking care of the Houston Texans 41-28. Tom Brady had 344 yards through the air and three touchdown passes on the day to qualify for the team’s fifth AFC Championship game since 2001-2002.

Offensively the Patriots will play a hurry-up offense with Brady passing 40 to 50 times during the game. Baltimore will look to Ray Rice at running back to pound the ball at the Patriots to then allow quarterback Joe Flacco to look over the middle or down the field for open receivers. Both defenses are suspect and the score could be very high in this game.

Baltimore has a record of 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 playoff games on the road. The underdog is 3-0-1 against the spread in the last four games head to head between the two teams. New England is 2-7 against the spread in their past nine playoff game at home.

The current line has New England favored by 9 points with the total on 51 ½. Smart money takes the Ravens and the points as well as the OVER to cash out.

To bet on this game or any other sporting event click here to visit one of our recommended sports books.

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Thursday, January 17th, 2013 NFL Betting 2012

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