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January 03, 2013

Fiesta Bowl Free Pick
January 3, 2013
Oregon vs. Kansas State

Oregon vs. K StateThis is quite possibly the most interesting matchup of the NCAA football post season. These are two power house teams that score at will. Oregon scores an average of 50 points per game and may be the most prolific offense in recent college football history.  Kansas State are no slouches, averaging 40 points per game scored. Defensively both teams allow about three touchdown per game.

Both teams come into the game with an 11-1 record straight up. Against the spread K State is an awesome 10-2 and Oregon is 7-5. Both teams are 7-4 regarding the Over/Unders.  The spread in this game is Oregon -7.5 and total sitting at a monumental 73 points. 

At Sportsbook Advisor we believed that Oregon would be in the national championship game. But they stumbled against Stanford 17-14 back in November all but ruining their national title aspirations.  A lot of us here believe Alabama vs. Oregon would have made for a better national championship game from the fan prospective.

How the game will play out. There will be scoring and plenty of it. And it may be the last team with the ball wins. But the value play here seems to be Oregon minus the points. They score more points and work at a faster pace. Buying the point spread down to 6.5 would be advisable. This is a value play and we can see Oregon winning and covering against Kansas State. If you must bet the over/under I would suggest taking the OVER. If you take an Under in a game like this you will be pulling your hair out for four ours.

Current Spreads at Our Top Sportsbooks:
TopBet: Oregon -8/74
Bovada: Oregon -8.5/74
Wagerweb: Oregon -7.5/74
Bet Revolution: Oregon -7.5/73.5

 

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Thursday, January 3rd, 2013 Bowl Games, College Football 2012

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