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December 31, 2012

Music City Bowl Free Pick
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
December 31, 2012 – 12:00 pm EST

Free NCAA Pick FootballThe 8-4 Vanderbilt Commodores will play the 7-5 N.C. State Wolfpack.  Oddsmakers currently have the Commodores as a 7 point favorite and the total is 51 points.  N.C. State is 5-6-1 ATS (against the spread) and Vandy is 8-4 ATS.  North Carolina State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games.  Vanderbilt is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.

Compare ad Contrast: Offensively the teams match up differently.  The N.C State offense is predicated on passing and averages over 300 yards per game. The Vandy O is based on rushing and racks up over 170 yards per game on the ground.  Vanderbilt has a much stingier defense than N.C. State allowing a full touchdown less than do the Wolfpack.

Vanderbilt has been most impressive the second half of the season racking up big wins against Tennessee and Mississippi. N.C. State was more or less Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde with alternating wins and losses. They lost to Clemson, Virginia and UNC. The loss to Virginia really jumps out at me because they are a really terrible football team and I have been using the Cavaliers as a barometer for teams all season long.  Virginia beat UNC 33-6 which is a tell tale of the beat down that is almost sure to come at the hands of the Vanderbilt Commodores.  The total looked like an OVER play on paper but after studying the weather in Memphis Tennessee I am shying away form that one. It is cold and forecast calls for possible showers throughout the day.

I like a medium strength play on the Vanderbilt Commodores -7
Bet it Now at Bet Revolution Sportsbook

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Monday, December 31st, 2012 Bowl Games, College Football 2012

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