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2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Free Pick

Boise State v Michigan StateQuite possibly the most overrated team to start the season was Michigan State.  They started the season ranked number 12 in the country and looked to be the part when they opened the season beating Boise State 17-13. They then trounced Central Michigan 41-7.  But then losses to Notre Dame, Ohio State, Iowa, and Michigan in four of the next six games sealed their fate and made us all realize that the Spartans were just a mediocre team.  But are they?  They have weaknesses at key spots. QB play is erratic. The offensive line is one of the best in college football when playing well.  All of their losses came against good teams. There were none of those “wtf?” losses.

TCU is very much the same story. This is a talented team that had high hopes. They beat SMU, Baylor and WVU but lost to Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Kansas State and Oklahoma.  So what is the tie breaker when deciding whom to bet in this big matchup?  Looking at stats they both compare very evenly. Both team’s offenses throw for roughly 200 yards and rush for 100 yards average per game.  On defense the glaring difference is that Michigan State allows a full touchdown less than does TCU.  Now we are getting somewhere.

TCU is favored by two points and the total is 40.  I can’t see doing much with this total. It could really go either way but my instinct is to take the under on two low scoring teams with great defenses that have had a month off from playing in any real game.  I feel that the play here is Michigan State. The Spartans will look to redeem themselves and avoid being swallowed by the jaws of mediocrity. A nice win here will put them at 7-6 SU and will salvage an already disappointing season. The public is playing TCU and so that is another reason we like Michigan State. Take MSU +2 for a medium to medium/strong play. Bet this pick now at Top Bet Sportsbook.

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Saturday, December 29th, 2012 Bowl Games, College Football 2012

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