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December 28, 2012

va-techFlorida Citrus Bowl
Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers
Friday, December 28, 2012. 5:30 pm EST

The toughest teams to handicap are the ones that resemble Jeckle and Hyde.  You never know which Va. Tech Hokies team will show up.  Will it be the team that beat Bowling Green and Georgia Tech? Or will it be the team that lost at Pitt and Miami FL?  Rutgers enters this content at 9-3 and 7-5 ATS (Against the Spread).  Virginia Tech is 6-6 and just 3-9 ATS.  Rutgers resembles the Virginia Tech teams of old; Good defense, special teams, and strong consistent ground game.  Virginia Tech is not the team that it used to be.  They lack in all aspects of their game, special teams included, which used to be their trademark.

These teams used to go head to head every year. And every year Rutgers would get trounced by Virginia Tech. A great deal has changed in the mean time.  Virginia Tech went off to  play in the ACC and Rutgers started building stronger teams. Is this the year that Rutgers gets to exact revenge on it’s former neighborhood bully? It just may be.  The sportsbook spread is Va Tech -2 and total is sitting at just 40 points.  By all of our calculations the game should be a “pick em”.  So the value here is taking Rutgers +2 points. We don’t love this play so we suggest going lightly on it.


Rutgers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers’s last 5 games
Rutgers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Virginia Tech
Rutgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers

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Friday, December 28th, 2012 Bowl Games, College Football 2012

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