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November 29, 2012

The NFL regular season has just five games left and teams are starting to battle for playoff spots. Tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup has a team with the best record in the league taking on a team fighting for its playoff life.

Tonight the Atlanta Falcons host the New Orleans Saints. Atlanta is tied for the best record in the NFL at 10- 1 straight up and 6-4-1 against the spread. New Orleans, after losing their first four games of the season now have a record of 5-6 straight up and 6-5 against the spread.  

Atlanta has waited almost three weeks for this matchup. The Falcons’ only loss thus far in the season was at the hands of the Saints during week 10 of the season 31-27 at the Superdome in New Orleans. The Falcons now want revenge. The last two weeks for the Falcons have been tough as they barely slipped by Arizona last week and a late touchdown beat Tampa Bay two weeks ago secured a 24-23 victory.

Last week, the momentum of the New Orleans Saints was stopped as they saw their three game winning streak ended with a loss to San Francisco 31-21. For one of the first times this season, the loss could be placed squarely on the shoulders of quarterback Drew Brees. He threw two interceptions that were both returned for touchdowns. That hole created by the two pick sixes, was too much for the Saints to recover from.

Both teams have potent scoring offenses. The Saints are fifth in scoring averaging 28 points per game, while the Falcons are eighth in scoring averaging 26.7 points per game. Atlanta has receivers such as Tony Gonzales and Roddy White for possession passes and Julio Jones for a deep threat. That spells trouble for New Orleans as their defense is statistically in last place in the NFL giving up 455 yards a game.

The current line has Atlanta favored at home by 3 ½ points with the point total currently at 56. The Falcons want to make up for their only loss in week 10, while the Saints are in a must win situation. I like the Falcons less the spread, with the points making winners of the over.

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Thursday, November 29th, 2012 NFL Betting 2012

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