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Texans vs Bears Free Pick

November 11, 2012

Tonight in the windy city, two teams that are legitimate Super Bowl contenders meet at Soldier Field on Sunday Night Football. The Chicago Bears with a record of 7-1straight up and 5-3 against the spread host the Houston Texans who have a record of 7-1 loss straight up and 6-2 against the spread.

Both teams lead their respective divisions and only the Atlanta Falcons, who are undefeated, have a better record than these two teams. Both teams have strong defenses and both teams love to run the ball down the throat of their opponents. Both teams are almost certain to make the playoffs, but a win tonight will do wonders for one team in securing a first round bye in the playoffs or even home field advantage.  

Inter conference matchups are difficult to predict since neither of the two teams is familiar with the type of football the other plays. However, in this matchup both teams have played a common opponent in the Green Bay Packers and both teams lost to the Packers. In Green Bay, the Bears lost 23-10, while Houston lost at home to Green Bay 42-24 in a game that saw Aaron Rogers throw for six touchdowns.

If you look at that common opponent, you can see that the Packers defense shut down the Bears and quarterback Jay Cutler and Houston has a defense that is similar. In addition, the Packers passing game rocked the Texans, but Chicago does not have the passing game the Packers have. Nevertheless, the Bears last week scored 51 points against Tennessee and have a tough defense.

Houston possesses an all round attack on offense with Arian Foster leading the team’s running attack and Andre Johnson making a great target at wide receiver for QB Matt Schaub. On the defense, J.J. Watt is a candidate for defensive MVP as he has 11 ½ sacks thus far and 10 passes defended. The Texans are second in the NFL in scoring with over 29 points a game.

The current line has Chicago favored on their home field by 1 ½ points with the point total only 39 ½. This game is as close to a “pick em” game as you will find on the schedule. The point difference is just home field advantage. Since I have to pick a winner I like the Texans on the road plus the points, with the total cashing out for those betting the under.

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Sunday, November 11th, 2012 NFL Betting 2012

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