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Take Texas Tech minus 2 over TCU in a Battle For Lonestar State Supremacy

With Mack Brown’s Longhorns struggling (relative to their usual dominance at least), this should be defensive battle between the Red Raiders and the Horned Frogs will go great lengths to help determine not only who Texas’s top college team currently is, barring an A&M upset of LSU, but the overall power structure in the Big 12 as well.  While both teams come into the game with identical records, both overall and in conference, are ranked 17th and 23rd respectively, and look eerily similar from a statistical standpoint, Tech really looks like the smart money ATS  – especially at only a two point favorite.

While both teams boast respectable, and at times dominant defenses, the real determining factor in this one should be in the quarterback play.  With red shirt freshman Trevone Boykin taking the snaps in only his third career start, TCU will definitely be looking at an uphill offensive battle against a Tech D that’s ranked 4th overall in passing yards against.  Granted, Boykin does have one impressive 300+ yard, 3 touchdown performance under his belt so far this year, but it came against a much more forgiving Baylor defense.  Expect at least a pick or two from the purple and grey, and unless they can establish a run game – against Tech’s top ten rush defense no less – some serious difficulty putting solid drives together as well.

With that said, Raiders star QB Seth Doege should have plenty of opportunity to have the ball in hands, and as a result, the hands of his receivers as well.  While TCU’s defensive unit is putting up numbers not too far removed from their impressive Raiders counterpart, Doege has been one of college football’s most effective passers so far this season.  With nearly two thousand yards, 21 TD passes, and only seven interceptions, it would be tough to argue that he hasn’t been one of the NCAA’s most prolific players so far this year.  In fact, minus a surprisingly rough game in a loss against to the now #9 Sooners, Doege might only be behind West Virginia’s phenom Geno Smith, as the top passer in the nation right now.

Look for a tough fought game, but ultimately a Red Raiders victory – and it should come by at least field goal.  While both teams will be putting tough defenses on the field, it’s hard to imagine the Horned Frogs being able to keep up with the sometimes-explosive Tech offense, especially with their question mark, red shirt freshman behind center.

Bet this game now at WagerWeb.com. If you live outside the U.S. bet this game at William Hill or Sportsbook.com.

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Saturday, October 20th, 2012 College Football 2012

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