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Washington at St. Louis Free NFL Pick

The St. Louis Rams could have taken Robert Griffin III with the No. 2 overall pick in this year’s draft. Instead, they decided to stick with 2010 No. 1 overall pick Sam Bradford and got a fortune in draft picks from the Redskins. And Washington couldn’t be happier after Griffin III had a record-setting debut in a shocking win at New Orleans.

Griffin finished 19 of 26 for 320 yards, three touchdowns, no interceptions and a passer rating of 139.9 (NFL-high in Week 1). He also scrambled for 42 yards. Only three players in NFL history have thrown for more yards in an NFL debut than the Redskins’ Robert Griffin III did. He was the first player in league history to amass 300-plus yards passing, two or more passing touchdowns and no interceptions in an NFL debut. Griffin III completed 8 of 9 pass attempts for 188 yards two touchdowns when the Saints sent five or more pass rushers. Griffin was named the NFC’s Offensive Player of the Week, the first rookie QB to do so in his debut game (in any conference). 

The Rams let a potential upset at Detroit slip out of their fingers in a 27-23 loss as Lions QB Matthew Stafford threw the winning 5-yard TD pass with 10 seconds left. Bradford was 17 of 25 for 198 yards with a TD, a 23-yard pass to Brandon Gibson early in the fourth quarter that put the Rams up 20-13. St. Louis’ reshaped offensive line lost two starters during the game. Offensive tackle Rodger Saffold was carted off the field with a neck injury in the fourth quarter and center Scott Wells had a foot injury. Saffold will miss at least this week, while Wells is done for the year.

The Rams have to be extremely concerned after averaging just 2.9 yards per carry in Week 1 and their already banged-up offensive line losing those two players. St. Louis had a dismal ground attack in Week 1 and needs to get Stephen Jackson on track versus a stingy Redskins defense. Washington gave up only 32 yards on the ground in Week 1, but part of that was the New Orleans Saints falling behind. The Rams need to force feed their featured back the ball between the tackles.

These two teams met last year in St. Louis, with the Skins winning 17-10.

WAGERWEB.COM ODDS: Redskins -3 (45)

REDSKINS NOTES: Traded up with Rams in 2012 NFL Draft to select QB Robert Griffin III with No. 2 overall pick. Griffin completed 19 of 26 (73.1 pct.) for 320 yards with 2 TDs & 0 INTs for 139.9 rating. Is 1st QB to pass for 300 yards, 2 TDs & 0 INTs in NFL debut. Only QB to pass for 300 yards & win in debut … Rookie Alfred Morris rushed for 96 yards & 2 TDs in NFL debut. RB Evan Royster has 100 rush yards in both NFL starts. Has 245 rush yards (122.5 per game) in his 2 career starts. RB Roy Helu has started 5 games & rushed for 100 yards in 3 of them … WR Santana Moss aims for 3rd in row vs. StL with rec. TD. In 9/26/10 meeting, had 6 catches for 124 yards (20.7 avg.) & TD. WR Pierre Garcon had 4 catches for 109 yards & TD (88 yards) last week … LB Brian Orakpo had 2.5 sacks & FF in last game vs. StL. In past 2 meetings, has 3.5 sacks & aims for 3rd in row vs. Rams with sack. Has 28.5 career sacks & needs 1.5 to reach 30. LB Ryan Kerrigan had sack & FF in only career meeting. Defense had 7 sacks in last game vs. StL. S DeJon Gomes had 1st career INT (49 yards) last week

RAMS NOTES: QB Sam Bradford had 105.1 rating last week, his 4th career game with 100 rating. Won 1st NFL game vs. Was. (9/26/10) … RB Steven Jackson had 252 scrimmage yards in 12/24/06 meeting with 150 rush & 102 rec. yards. Also had rush & rec. TD in that contest. Since 1960, is 1 of 6 players in NFL with 150 rush yards, 100 rec. yards, rush TD & rec. TD in same game. Since 2006, averages 114.4 scrimmage yards per game (9,952 yards, 87 games), most in NFL (min. 60 games) … WR-KR Danny Amendola had 6 catches (56 yards) in his last game vs. Was. Had 5 catches for 70 yards in Week 1. WR Brandon Gibson had TD catch last week … DE Chris Long has 10 sacks in past 11 games with sack in 7 of past 11. In past 13 home games, Long has 13 sacks. Has sack in 10 of past 13 games at home. LB James Laurinaitis had INT in last game vs. Was. Is only NFC player with 8 sacks (8) & 5 INTs (5) since 2009. CB Cortland Finnegan had 31-yard INT-TD last week, his 1st game with StL. Rookie CB Janoris Jenkins had 1st career INT (34 yards) in NFL debut.

WAGERWEB.COM TRENDS: Redskins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Rams are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Rams are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

SBA Take: After seeing the way the Redskins disposed of the Saints last week we have no choice but to pick them in this game. The Rams should put up a fight early but give way to a more talented team later.

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Sunday, September 16th, 2012 NFL Betting 2012

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