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AL Baseball Picks Sunday September 2, 2012

by Wagerweb

Baltimore at NY Yankees – Orioles RHP Chris Tillman (7-2, 3.26) vs. Yankees RHP David Phelps (3-2, 2.96): Tillman gaveup just one hit and four walks with five strikeouts to pick up his seventh win against the White Sox on Tuesday. He faced the Yankees on July 31 and allowed four runs and eight hits in five innings. … The rookie Phelps continues to make progress, pitching into the seventh inning in his past two starts after previously struggling to finish six. None of his six career starts came vs. the Orioles, but he has five scoreless innings of relief vs. them. Baltimore is the play here.

Texas at Cleveland – Rangers LHP Derek Holland (9-6, 4.90) vs. Indians RHP Zach McAllister (5-5, 3.82): Holland is 2-0 with a 3.76 ERA in his last four starts. He has made nine starts on the road this season and is 4-2 with a 4.29 ERA. He is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in four career starts against the Indiand and has a 0.55 ERA at Progressive Field. … McAllister saw a run of 15 straight starts with no more than four earned runs allowed end Tuesday against the A’s. He gave up five runs on nine hits with eight strikeouts in 4 1/3 innings. Texas is our pick. 

Tampa Bay at Toronto – Rays LHP David Price (16-5, 2.53) vs. Jays LHP Ricky Romero (8-12, 5.50): Price allowed six runs on 10 hits in four-plus innings Monday vs. the Rangers en route to his fifth loss of the season. He threw 69 pitches, his fewest in a game since July 25, 2009, when he threw 56 in a three-inning stint in Toronto. … Romero surrendered just two runs in seven innings during his last start against New York, but a lack of run support led to his 11th straight loss. The streak is a franchise record for a single season, and the longest in the AL this year. Tampa is the play in our minds

Minnesota at Kansas City – Twins RHP Esmerling Vasquez (first start) vs. Royals RHP Luis Mendoza (7-9, 4.51):  This would have been Scott Diamond’s start for Minnesota but he’s serving a six-game suspension. A likely candidate to make the start is Vasquez, who has been impressive at Triple-A Rochester. The 28-year-old has posted a 2.78 ERA with 98 strikeouts and 38 walks in 100 1/3 innings. … Mendoza pitched through six runs and managed to keep the Royals in a slugfest with the Tigers last Tuesday night, finishing with two scoreless innings to get the game to the bullpen. His command was off and the six earned runs were a season high. We like KC.

Boston at Oakland – Red Sox RHP Daisuke Matsuzaka (1-3, 5.10) vs. A’s LHP Tommy Milone (11-9, 3.73): Dice-K turned in a solid performance in his latest return from the DL, allowing five hits and a run over seven innings. Matsuzaka has held opponents to a .241 average over his 30 innings this year, notching 26 strikeouts. … Milone admitted he didn’t have his best stuff on Tuesday, but he still held Cleveland scoreless for six innings. In the process, the southpaw picked up his team-high 11th win of the season. Take Boston.

Chicago White Sox at Detroit – White Sox LHP Chris Sale (15-5, 2.81) vs. Tigers RHP Justin Verlander (12-7, 2.80): Sale said he “just didn’t have it” on Tuesday against the Orioles, when he gave up four runs on six hits in four innings, striking out five but walking three. It was Sale’s shortest start of the season. … Verlander was roughed up in his last outing against the Royals. He surrendered eight runs for the first time in three years and 12 hits for the first time in six years. He ended up pitching 5 2/3 innings and earned no decision. Taking Detroit at Home

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Sunday, September 2nd, 2012 2012, Baseball

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