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Kentucky vs. Iowa State Free Pick

March 17, 2012

Kentucky

The NCAA tournament will have a number of intriguing matchups Friday March 17. One great second round matchup will see the Iowa State Cyclones face the nation’s number one team the Kentucky Wildcats. The game will tip off Friday night at the KFC Yum! Center.

Iowa State won their first round game against Connecticut 77-64. They beat the Huskies to cover a 1 ½ point underdog spread. Kentucky was an easy winner against Western Kentucky on Thursday night 81-66 in their first round matchup. The Wildcats failed to cover their 26 ½ point favorite spread, but were ahead at times by 30 points and the reserves could not keep that lead.

Iowa State has an overall record of 23-10 SU and they are 20-9 ATS this season. Kentucky has a record of 33-2 SU and is just 13-21 ATS. One reason their record ATS is so bad is they have faced very large favorite spreads and have not held the lead late in games when their reserves come into the game to finish up.

Iowa State is 3-2 SU over their last five games. They lost to Texas in the Big 12 season ending tournament and righted the ship with their first round game against the Huskies of Connecticut. Kentucky is 4-1 SU over their last five games. They lost to Vanderbilt in the SEC Championship game to end the season. They returned four days later however, to beat Western Kentucky handily. The two schools have not met head to head of recent.

The game should be close until mid way through the second half when Kentucky’s size and dominating play of Anthony Davis will take over. The Wildcats will wear the Cyclones down and will win this game SU and the total will be OVER. Kentucky will not be looking beyond the Cyclones and an upset will not be in the cards.

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Saturday, March 17th, 2012 2012, College Basketball Betting, march madness

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