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Duke vs. UNC Free Pick

March 03, 2012

Duke Basketball

All bragging rights will be on the line March 3 in Cameron Indoor Stadium when the North Carolina Tar Heels travel a few miles to take on the Duke Blue Devils in Durham, North Carolina. Both teams have identical records this season. Both teams are 26-4 overall and 13-2 in the Atlantic Coast Conference. On paper, there is not a more evenly matched game.

The Tar Heels are 16-13 ATS this season and 5-5 ATS on the road. They are averaging 16 more points per game than their defense is allowing. Duke is 13-17ATS this season and just 7-13 ATS at home. Their offense is scoring 10 points more than their defense gives up each game.

The trends also point to an evenly matched game. The Heels are 5-0 SU in their last five road games and 4-2 SU in the their last six games playing at Duke. The total has been UNDER 6 out of the last 9 times the two teams have played at Duke.

Duke also is 5-0 SU in their last five games, but just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games at Cameron. Duke has held a distinct advantage over North Carolina in the last six games the two have played head to head. The Blue Devils are 5-1 SU in those six games. The total has been UNDER in 7 of the last 10 games played head to head.

The game will determine the winner of the ACC and who is given the higher seed not only in the ACC postseason tournament but also in the NCAA tournament that follows.

The last meeting between the two saw Austin Rivers sink a three pointer at the buzzer to cap a rally by Duke. The game was high scoring with the final ending 85-84. Rivers finished that game with 29 points, outscoring the Tar Heels’ Tyler Zeller who scored 23 and took down 11 rebounds.

The game should be tactical and low scoring. A bet for UNDER is where sharp money is being placed. The Blue Devils should take the game SU with the help of their home fans. Bet Duke +1.5 at one of  our top sportsbooks.

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Saturday, March 3rd, 2012 2012-previews-picks, College Basketball Betting

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