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AFC Championship: Patriots vs. Ravens

January 21, 2012

Ray Rice expected to run only for about 80 yards

The AFC Championship will be settled this weekend when the Baltimore Ravens take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Massachusetts. The Patriots are considered a nine point favorite as they will be playing at home and are coming off a record setting game by quarterback Tom Brady.

Baltimore struggled against the Houston Texans 20-13 to reach the championship and a possible chance at playing in the Super Bowl. Baltimore was a 7.5 favorite in that game therefore, they did not cover the spread against Houston. UNDER bettors were happy as the total score of 33 was below the line.

New England on the other hand covered their spread 14 point spread against Denver by whalloping the Broncos 45-10. Total points were OVER for the game with the teams combining for 55.

New England is riding a nine game winning streak while Baltimore has won three straight. Baltimore is only 8-7-1 ATS this season while the Patriots are 9-6-1. January records for the two teams are similar. Baltimore has won 7 of 10 in the month, while New England has won 6 of 10. New England holds an edge playing teams outside their division as they have won 8 of their last 10 and the Ravens have won just 7 of their last 10.

Other factors to take into consideration are that Baltimore is 7-1 SU over its last eight games. On the road, the score Baltimore�s last 4 out of 5 games has gone OVER. Against New England, Baltimore�s score has gone UNDER in 4 of 6 games on the road.

Because of their nine game winning streak New England is 9-0 SU. In all five of the last five New England games the score has ended OVER. At home, New England has five straight SU wins. When playing against Baltimore, New England has won seven of the last eight games SU.

New England will take a hard fought 35-21 win to go to reach another Super Bowl.

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Saturday, January 21st, 2012 NFL Betting 2012

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