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August 14, 2017

NCAA Basketball Saturday: Duke vs. FSU

Duke Basketball
Pick is Duke

Freshmen Austin Rivers who is averaging 13.8 points a game leads the Blue Devils. Duke has four players scoring in double figures. Duke will be coming off a tough Thursday night game against ACC archrival Wake Forest that could be a factor in the game.

The Seminoles are lead by Michael Snaer and Ian Miller with both are averaging over 13 points a contest. Florida State beat Maryland Tuesday night and is idle until Saturday’s game against Duke, which means they will come into the game well rested and riding a three game winning streak.

Duke enjoys success on its home court at Cameron Indoor Stadium where they are 13-0 SU in their last 13 home games. In their last 6 games against the Seminoles, Duke is 5-1 SU. Duke has won 13 of its last 14 games SU at home against Florida State. However, Duke is just 4-10 ATS over the last 14 games playing against Florida State. In 11 of its last 14 games against Florida State, the total has been UNDER.

Florida State is not a road team. The Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. They are also 1-4 SU over their last five road games. The total has been UNDER in 6 of the last 9 roads games Florida State has played.

Duke has a more talented team, one of the country’s best coaches if not the best and home court advantage. Look for a low scoring game with Duke winning SU but losing ATS.

The Line: The spread opened today at Duke -12. It is a little higher than we though it would be but still within the acceptable number. Duke up to -14 would be a solid bet.  We are taking Duke minus the points.

Saturday morning: The line has settled down to 10.5, exactly where we though it should be. We are taking Duke -10.5 as a medium/strong play.

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Friday, January 20th, 2012 2012-previews-picks, College Basketball Betting

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