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NFL Playoff Picks: Patriots vs. Broncos

QB Tebow
Denver QB Tim Tebow

The New England Patriots will meet the Denver Broncos Saturday January 14 in New England in the AFCdivisional playoffs. The two met in the 15th game of the regular season and the Patriots dominated the Broncos 41-23. Tom Brady picked apart the Bronco defense for 320 yards passing while Bronco quarterback Tim Tebow could not muster any more than 100 yards passing.

The Patriots have had a week to rest and recover from any nagging injuries, while the Broncos won an overtime thriller against the Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday in Denver. The Patriots high potent offense easily makes up for their defensive shortcomings. With Brady, throwing to Wes Welker and Rob Gronkowski the Denver secondary will have their hands full from the games first whistle until its last.

That does not mean Denver will be a push over. The Broncos have come a long way since Tebow took the helm and his running ability has helped the Broncos add diversity to their offense. The Patriot defense will have to worry about Tebow’s running, scrambling and throwing. Tebow has thrown the ball much better of late as was evidenced in his 80-yard touchdown pass that ended the overtime game against the Steelers. This game should end Denver’s season and propel New England to the AFC championship game. Weather could be a factor.

Odds currently have the Patriots as 14-point favorites. Denver covered the spread of 7.5 points last weekend as underdogs against the Steelers.

In the Patriots last win of the regular season against Buffalo they easily covered the 10 point spread. The 70 points scored in the game was a winner for those who bet OVER. Patriots are 6-4 in January, 8-2 on turf and 8-2 when playing outside their division.

In five of Denver’s last seven games the game has gone UNDER when the Broncos play in New England.

Picks: We are taking Denver plus the points and the Under in this game.

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Friday, January 13th, 2012 NFL Betting 2012

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