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Sugar Bowl : Michigan vs. Virginia Tech

January 03, 2012

Va Tech in Sugar Bowl
Va. Tech Looks to Upset Favored Michigan

The Michigan Wolverines and the Virginia Tech Hokies will both be trying to pick up a win on January 3 when they battle at Mercedes-Benz Superdome in the Allstate Sugar Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Wolverines listed as 3-point favorites versus the Hokies, while the game’s total is sitting at 52.

Last time out for Michigan, they were a 40-34 winner as they battled Ohio State at home. Michigan failed to cover in the match as a 8.5-point favorite, while 74 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Virginia Tech was a 38-10 loser in its last match on the road against Clemson. They failed to cover the 7?point spread as favorites, while the total score of 48 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

SA Take: VT only lost to Clemson this year. The problem is that they played them twice, and lost both times. The fact that Michigan isn’t named Clemson allows us to pick Va. Tech for the upset tonight.

Team records:
Michigan: 10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS
Virginia Tech: 11-2 SU, 4-9 ATS

Michigan most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When favored on the road are 5-5

Virginia Tech most recently:
When playing in January are 3-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When an underdog at home are 4-1

A few trends to consider:
Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan’s last 6 games
Virginia Tech is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech’s last 6 games
Virginia Tech is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

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Tuesday, January 3rd, 2012 College Football Betting 2011

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