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Arizona State vs. Boise State MAACO Las Vegas Bowl

December 22, 2011

Kellen Moore
Boise State QB Kellen Moore

The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Boise State Broncos will both be trying to pick up a win on December22 when they battle at Sam Boyd Stadium in the MAACO Las Vegas Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 15-point favorites versus the Sun Devils, while the game’s total is sitting at 69.

Arizona State was a 47-38 loser in its last match at home against California. They failed to cover the 6?point spread as favorites, while the total score of 85 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Boise State won its last outing, a 45-0 result against New Mexico on December 3. Boise State failed to cover in that game as a 47.5-point favorite, while the 45 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

SA Take: Arizona State plays tougher opponents and is in a better conference. They have a good football team. Boise State is ranked 7th in the nation. At first glance everything points to Bosie with an easy win and cover. The public thinks so too with more than 80% of them betting Boise State as well.  We have to go with Boise here but see if you can buy a point and bring this down to -13.5. Just in case it lands on 14 even.

Team records:
Arizona State: 6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS
Boise State: 11-1 SU, 4-8 ATS

Arizona State most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

Boise State most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 10-0

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State’s last 6 games
Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Boise State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boise State’s last 8 games
Boise State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

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Thursday, December 22nd, 2011 College Football Betting 2011

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