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NFL Preview and Pick: Steelers at 49ers

December 19, 2011

QB Alex Smith 49ers

The Pittsburgh Steelers and the San Francisco 49ers will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday whenthey battle at Candlestick Park.

Oddsmakers currently have the 49ers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Steelers, while the game’s total is sitting at 38.

Pittsburgh won its last outing, a 14-3 result against the Browns on December 8. The Steelers failed to cover in that game as a 14-point favorite, while the 17 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

San Francisco lost its last outing, a 21-19 result against the Cardinals on December 11. The 49ers failed to cover in that game as a 3.5-point favorite, while the 40 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Sportsbook Advisor Pick: This will be a good chance for the 49ers to come out and prove that they can hang with the big dogs. Even though the Steelers are surging and everyone knows it, this is a long distance trip for Pittsburgh and we are leaning toward taking the 49ers -3 at home on MNF.

Current streak:
Pittsburgh has won 4 straight games.

Team records:
Pittsburgh: 10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS
San Francisco: 10-3 SU, 10-2-1 ATS

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2

San Francisco most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 8 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 8 games

Next up:
Pittsburgh home to St. Louis, Saturday, December 24
San Francisco at Seattle, Saturday, December 24

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Monday, December 19th, 2011 NFL Betting 2011

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