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NFL Week 14: Raiders at Packers

December 11, 2011

Aaron Rodgers QB Packers
Aaron Rodgers QB Packers

Green Bay looks destined to finish the regular-season 16-0 after last week’s last-second win over the Giants. Oakland, meanwhile, looks to keep pace with Denver atop the AFC West.

Green Bay became the first defending Super Bowl champion to start the following season 12-0 since the 1998 Denver Broncos with last Sunday’s 38-35 road win over the New York Giants. It was the Packers’ 18th straight victory — tied for the second-longest streak in NFL history behind New England’s 21-game run in 2003-04.

With QB Aaron Rodgers leading the way, the Packers are averaging a league-best 35.0 points and are 42 shy of breaking the single-season franchise record of 461 in 2009. That doesn’t bode well for Oakland, which is 27th in scoring defense allowing 25.7 points per game.

The Raiders had trouble slowing down Miami’s offense in last Sunday’s 34-14 loss, snapping a three-game winning streak. Oakland doesn’t have time to dwell on the loss with a game at Lambeau Field, where the Packers have won 10 in a row.

Carson Palmer has a favorable matchup against a 31st-ranked pass defense which could be without CB Charles Woodson, who suffered a concussion last week. Palmer may have to wait for the return of injured WRs Jacoby Ford and Denarius Moore. In addition, RB Darren McFadden is out again.

Rather than let Rodgers pick apart the Raiders, the Packers could take a more conservative approach against a defense which allowed Miami to rack up 209 rushing yards and gives up an NFL-worst 5.2 yards per carry. James Starks may be limited with an ankle injury, meaning more carries for Ryan Grant, who piled up 156 yards when these teams last met four years ago.

WAGERWEB.COM NFL FOOTBALL BETS — Packers by 12

RECORD VS. SPREAD — Oakland 7-4-1; Green Bay 8-4

SERIES RECORD — Packers lead 6-5

LAST MEETING — Packers beat Raiders 38-7, Dec. 9, 2007

LAST WEEK — Raiders lost to Dolphins 34-14; Packers beat Giants 38-35

RAIDERS OFFENSE — OVERALL (12), RUSH (4), PASS (16)

RAIDERS DEFENSE — OVERALL (26), RUSH (28), PASS (17)

PACKERS OFFENSE — OVERALL (4), RUSH (29), PASS (3)

PACKERS DEFENSE — OVERALL (31), RUSH (13), PASS (31)

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES — Raiders 2-0 against NFC North teams this season, beating Minnesota and Chicago, and 4-2 on road this season. … Raiders QB Carson Palmer 15-11 as starter vs. NFC teams, with 47 TDs and 26 INTs. Palmer 2-0 against Packers, completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 422 yards with six TDs and three INTs. … Raiders have 14 TDs rushing this season, second-most in AFC behind Houston’s 15. … RB Michael Bush averaging 94.7 yards rushing per game in past three road games. … FB Marcel Reece averaging 14.1 yards per catch. … Raiders CB Stanford Routt has two interceptions in past three games. … LB Kamerion Wimbley has 6 sacks in past 5 games. … Packers can join 1998 Broncos as defending Super Bowl champs to start following season 13-0. Packers have won 18 in row, including postseason, tied for second-longest streak in NFL history. … QB Aaron Rodgers is first player in NFL history to post 100-plus rating 12 games in row. Rodgers has 2-plus TD passes in first 12 games of season, making him third player to accomplish that feat (Johnny Unitas,1959; Peyton Manning, 2004). … Rodgers has 37 TDs passing and needs three to pass Brett Favre for team’s single-season record. … RB Ryan Grant rushed for 156 yards and touchdown in Packers’ last meeting vs. Raiders. … WR Jordy Nelson has four catches for 50-plus yards, tied for NFL lead. … CB Charles Woodson was first-round pick by Oakland in 1998.

SA Take: Although the Raiders are much improved we think they are running out of gas and the QB injury to Campbell sucked the wind form their sails. We like the Packers at minus the points here.

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Sunday, December 11th, 2011 NFL Betting 2011

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