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Penn State Nittany Lions at No.16 Wisconsin Badgers

November 26, 2011

It’s the de facto Big Ten Leaders Division Championship Game on Saturday in Madison when Wisconsin hosts Penn State, with the winner headed to Indianapolis to play Michigan State in the first Big Ten title game. UW is a 14.5-point college football bets favorite on WagerWeb.com.

Despite the ongoing controversy surrounding the Penn State football program, and the university at large, the Nittany Lions earned at least a share of the Big Ten’s Leaders Division title with last week’s 20-14 win at Ohio State. The Lions are being coached on an interim basis by Tom Bradley, and they bring a 4-0 road mark into this contest. Going back a bit further, Penn State is 14-4 in regular-season road games over the past four years, and that includes a 12-3 mark against Big Ten foes.

UW, which won at Illinois last weekend, 28-17, is 18-2 in regular-season games played after November 1 in head coach Bret Bielema’s six seasons at the helm, and the Badgers will try to extend their current 15-game home winning streak with a victory this weekend. They have won nine in a row in Madison against Big Ten opponents. Additionally, Wisconsin is looking to complete a 7-0 home ledger for the second straight year, something done only one other time in school history (2006-07).

It’s a battle of the Big Ten’s top scoring offense — Wisconsin averages 44.8 points per game behind Russell Wilson and Montee Ball — versus the league’s stingiest defense — Penn State allows just 13 points per contest, led by likely All-American defensive tackle Devon Still. Ball has 30 touchdowns this season, a Big Ten single-season record. He has 1,466 yards rushing and is averaging 6.6 yards per carry. He has scored a touchdown in 17 straight games and has scored at least two TDs in every game this season.

At 6-foot-5 and 310 pounds, Still is tied for third in the Big Ten with 16.5 tackles for loss this season. He didn’t have a huge impact in last week’s victory at Ohio State and said this week that he had been slowed by an illness. The Badgers’ interior line is unsettled by an injury to starting center Peter Konz. Ryan Groy started at center last week against Illinois but was flip-flopped with guard Travis Frederick after Groy botched a couple of plays in the second half.

Wisconsin leads the series 8-6, but the series is 6-6 as Big Ten competitors. The teams are meeting for the first time since 2008 and Penn State has won the last two meetings.

SA Take: Not a very clear cut lean for us on this one but if “gun to head” scenario we take Penn State + the 14.5

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Saturday, November 26th, 2011 College Football Betting 2011

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