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Friday NCAA Football: No. 2 Oklahoma State at Iowa State

November 18, 2011

Friday’s ESPN college football matchup between No. 2 Oklahoma State and Iowa State looks like a giant mismatch, and indeed OSU is a 27-point college football bets favorite on But the Pokes might get caught looking ahead to their next game: Dec. 3 vs. Oklahoma with the Big 12 title and a spot in the national championship on the line.

OSU, which has the nation’s No. 2 scoring and passing offense, enters off a 66-6 demolition of Texas Tech. Brandon Weeden threw for 423 yards and five touchdowns and Joseph Randle ran for three more scores to lead Oklahoma State. Weeden, who completed 31 of 37 passes, threw touchdown passes of 2, 27, 28, 48 and 66 yards, and had no interceptions before his backup came in late in the third quarter. Justin Blackmon and Josh Cooper each had more than 100 receiving yards.

OSU won its 10th straight game on the road, third-longest active streak in the country. It was the Red Raiders’ most lopsided loss ever and the most points allowed in program history.

Weeden is 21-2 as a starter, including 11-0 away from Boone Pickens Stadium. He has thrown at least one touchdown pass in 23 straight games (all 23 of his career starts) and has at least two TD passes in 20 of his 23 starts. He leads all BCS conference quarterbacks with 3,635 passing yards and 31 touchdowns. He has completed 67-of-83 passes (.801 pct.) for 925 yards and nine touchdowns in the last two games alone. Blackmon leads the nation with 14 touchdown catches. He ranks third nationally with 93 receptions and fifth nationally with 1,142 receiving yards. Over the last three games, Blackmon has 32 catches covering 480 yards and six touchdowns.

Iowa State, which can get bowl eligible with a win, has won two in a row and beat Kansas 13-10 last week. Freshman QB Jared Barnett, now 2-0 as a starter, ran for 125 yards on 22 carries and threw for another 175 yards, completing 16 of 30 passes with one interception. The Cyclones finished with 426 yards of total offense against a team that had been allowing an average of 559 a game in league play.

After losing to Iowa State in 2005 (Mike Gundy’s first season as head coach) by a 37-10 score, the Cowboys have won two in a row in this series by a combined score of 93-25. by wagerweb

Sportsbook Advisor Take:  The point spread is about 27 points. This seems to be a number that is hard to handicap against. If there is any value here it is UNDER 70 points. Some books have it as low as 66 points and all it takes some sloppy play to keep it under the posted 70 point total.

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Friday, November 18th, 2011 College Football Betting 2011

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