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Bills at Cowboys NFL Football Betting Preview

November 13, 2011

The Bills will try to avoid losing two straight for the first time this season Sunday when they face a Cowboys team trying to make a push for the NFC East lead. And of course this is a return to Dallas for Bills head coach Chan Gailey, who was hired in 1998 to replace Barry Switzer and went 18-14 in two seasons with the Cowboys, leading them to the playoffs twice yet never winning a postseason game.

Buffalo enters off a 27-11 loss to the New York Jets. The Bills — tied with New England as the AFC’s highest-scoring team at 27.8 points per game — failed to reach 20 for the first time this season. They went 3 of 11 on third-down conversions and committed a season-high three turnovers. Ryan Fitzpatrick had two interceptions, giving him six in the last four games.

Dallas had no trouble last week with Seattle to get to .500. The Cowboys’ running game has taken a huge step forward since Felix Jones suffered a high ankle sprain. In the three games Jones has missed, rookie DeMarco Murray has rushed for 466 yards — 42 more than the team’s total through Week 5.

Each team should be starting to feel the heat in their respective divisions, with the Cowboys now trailing the Giants by two games in the NFC East and the Bills in a three-way tie for first place in the AFC East. The Giants did everyone a favor by knocking the Patriots down a peg. Now Buffalo can seize the opportunity to take first-place or at least maintain a tie in the division. With the stacked NFC North and South threatening to hog the wild card positions, Dallas needs a run to avoid missing the playoffs.

RB Fred Jackson has been Buffalo’s most consistent threat, with at least 115 yards from scrimmage in all but one game this season. Eagles RB LeSean McCoy, Jackson’s closet comparison in the NFL this season, gashed this Dallas defense for 200 total yards, including 185 rushing, in a 34-7 Eagles Week 8 victory.

The Bills’ offense has been built around a physical ground attack featuring Jackson, who is averaging 5.4 yards per attempt. The Cowboys have been inconsistent defending the run, so look for Gailey to pound the rock early and often to set the tempo of the game and keep the Dallas offense on the sideline.

NFL FOOTBALL BETTING LINE — Cowboys -5.5 (48)

RECORD VS. SPREAD — Buffalo 5-2-1; Dallas 3-4-1

SERIES RECORD — Cowboys lead 7-3

LAST MEETING — Cowboys beat Bills 25-24, Oct. 8, 2007

LAST WEEK — Bills lost to Jets 27-11; Cowboys beat Seahawks 23-13

BILLS OFFENSE — OVERALL (12), RUSH (7), PASS (15)

BILLS DEFENSE — OVERALL (26), RUSH (20), PASS (25)

COWBOYS OFFENSE — OVERALL (7), RUSH (12), PASS (7)

COWBOYS DEFENSE — OVERALL (11), RUSH (10), PASS (16)

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES —Buffalo plays next three games, and four of five, on road. … Bills have chance to get to 6-3 for first time since 1999, last time they made playoffs. … Bills RB Fred Jackson grew up in house that was on property where Cowboys Stadium sits. … Buffalo has managed three points off four takeaways last three games after turning 16 takeaways into 79 points first five games. … Twelve sacks by DeMarcus Ware puts him one from overtaking Greg Ellis for fourth-most in single season by Cowboys linebacker. Top three are all Ware, a list topped by his 20 in 2008. … DeMarco Murray is first Dallas running back with multiple 100-yard rushing games in same season since Julius Jones in 2004. Murray had 139 yards against Seattle, his second 100-yard game this season. Rookie record for 100-yard games for a Dallas RB is Duane Thomas’ four in 1970. NFL career rushing leader Emmitt Smith had three as rookie in 1990

 

Take the Bills plus the Points

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Sunday, November 13th, 2011 NFL Betting 2011

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